Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7689e67df16f4f048fae518e14cab693eb630eb85c8d209f567fe15be1ec3a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,169 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked Over | 0c | 61,147$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 0c | 36,973$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…3ffebacked Over | 0c | 10,066$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 74c | 1,760$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.43 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8285…77c9backed Over | 17c | 1,587$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 22c | 1,249$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.78 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 742.57$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 17c | 710.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 629$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Over | 32c | 600$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 531.75$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…8c64backed Over | 17c | 527.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 38c | 386.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 18c | 345$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 16c | 315$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 17c | 301.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 19c | 212.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Over | 34c | 207.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 32c | 147.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 36c | 139.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 23c | 129.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 30c | 94.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 31c | 92.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 26c | 86.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 24c | 57.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Under | 71c | 56.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 76c | 51.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Over | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 32c | 47.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 32c | 47.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 77c | 45.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed Under | 76c | 36.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 33c | 31.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over | 39c | 28.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 78c | 24.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.