TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,113 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under61c67,571$41,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,454.8516040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c45,860$15,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,425.676,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c12,053$4,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,532.3485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over36c5,856$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.5446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c5,355$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.171,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over40c3,333$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.742665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8909256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under76c2,641$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over38c1,545$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.3675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over33c1,505$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.9251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over37c1,371$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.0216024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Over37c503.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.271850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over46c360.5$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.678655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over42c355.26$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0525348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over46c319.57$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.576445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over38c264.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Under12c246.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.742536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2235428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3317161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over34c181.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0828633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over40c171.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3335328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6720864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over32c149.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0220758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c144.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.449946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over40c141.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.534163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Over41c138.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.171662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3616731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c128.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over44c126.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9916357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over32c124.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.824852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.055742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5825256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under27c102$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7520956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Under70c100.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.173745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5420644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over44c98.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8910048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over42c89.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.394551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed Under63c85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.551172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over36c84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.475565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over32c78.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.883441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over41c74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.663941%16 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over41c74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6611842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over41c74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.662040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over41c74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.662638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over40c73.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.391,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over43c73.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1539052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Under64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.774639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.511053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under54c61.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3111450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.983933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5240841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over36c58.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.382,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2927…05fcbacked Under63c58.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.357659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c53.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.691,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Over30c53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.13565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over45c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.820143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-68%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over43c51.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1610540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255455.6%30 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Under73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.56338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under58c49.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.443953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under55c48.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8951847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over41c48.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.889245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over29c48.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x593a…cc48backed Over43c43.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over42c42.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9112945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Over34c40.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.213531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac5f…eb06backed Over51c39.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over33c38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.465959.3%35 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over43c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.663145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over40c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over42c35.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7429644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Over41c34.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under63c34.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0913152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7006…8336backed Over36c33.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab1…c560backed Under66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.319133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f62…0412backed Over45c29.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+63%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under60c28.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1523250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8af5…cd81backed Under75c14.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.