TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes48c7,866$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.9920039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c5,220$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No52c3,456$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.137054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No39c3,047$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.979450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No51c2,806$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.6631655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes47c2,553$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.1913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c2,529$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.114,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes49c2,480$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.854456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No53c2,049$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.2335758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes56c1,900$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes47c1,499$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.6456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No8c1,477$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1341344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c1,397$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.851,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc048…8583backed No51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No49c1,297$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.345240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Yes47c1,272$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No53c1,157$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.4830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes47c1,107$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.0217833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099e…4ad4backed Yes49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+92.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa9a…a377backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes48c1,030$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.4527235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49017337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No50c737.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes47c649.51$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2421656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes51c630.14$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.231,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked No52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No52c599.97$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes69c448.89$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1529253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2166225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes48c350$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.54953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed No32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes70c287.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.444870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Yes49c258.51$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc711…bf1dbacked No51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.96150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x407a…d0d3backed Yes41c241.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No39c213.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.451,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7713445.5%61 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No36c210.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.221,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…0596backed Yes49c205.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.581471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x268c…a03abacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9077…45cebacked Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a6…1a23backed Yes51c196.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.251675%12 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes62c170$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.86847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes53c132.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9835247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes50c124$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4413543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf67b…4a7abacked Yes49c121.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.89739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.39938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4951…42e3backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bdf…83a0backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5932222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425038%19 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes42c92.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.865143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe117…0b8dbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No48c83.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes49c80.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.822560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked Yes49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88851.1%45 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes49c68.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1131053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes47c61.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.76036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes47c59.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5719460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8212935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d25…f28dbacked Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0818052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.023464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e1a…15e0backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffce…c93cbacked Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.028542.4%36 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5632…c2dabacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe254…d8fabacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…65a0backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes46c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6828246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x482e…39c7backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.