Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x235c498c8b5f7dd11ec89e116b40aa6d6db89601fed80fa9519bd972c6eec0b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 74c | 18,629$13,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.54 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 26c | 9,615$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 26c | 7,947$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.76 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,005$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.32 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 24c | 1,917$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.89 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 26c | 1,766$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.14 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 1,731$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.65 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,054$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 1,001$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.33 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 25c | 830$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 16c | 452$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 26c | 448$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 401.36$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 23c | 399.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 75c | 349.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 24c | 303.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 245.77$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 245.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…1f13backed Yes | 26c | 219.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 6c | 214.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7b4fbacked Yes | 25c | 200.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 75c | 188$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 74c | 170.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…c2dabacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…f6f1backed Yes | 24c | 149.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 77c | 127.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x619f…fc43backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 25c | 119.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 25c | 100.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 25c | 96.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…aa56backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 75c | 78.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…4c55backed Yes | 26c | 75.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 75.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…509dbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6bb8backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 76c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…f02fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6174…fbcabacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…cf83backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 31.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…3e72backed No | 77c | 28.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 28.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.