Token Launches · resolved market
Will Berachain launch a token in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe858d12a329a9a1f0a5f568bf00d7b537af8a943bdd57ff718fc312997e03912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 15,840$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.66 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6539backed Yes | 5c | 10,396$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…5c12backed No | 65c | 10,323$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…55c3backed Yes | 28c | 9,700$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…eed7backed Yes | 5c | 8,385$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…7720backed Yes | 8c | 7,889$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 7c | 6,759$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.27 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 4,781$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.58 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 29c | 4,607$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.47 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…dab9backed Yes | 9c | 4,215$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…720cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,857$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…49fbbacked Yes | 38c | 3,351$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…d977backed Yes | 7c | 3,214$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…a2a2backed No | 70c | 3,091$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…34f4backed Yes | 26c | 2,800$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Yes | 26c | 2,710$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a23…fb8cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,466$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f7…df0cbacked No | 69c | 2,345$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Yes | 12c | 2,153$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…aed7backed Yes | 30c | 1,978$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…6262backed Yes | 30c | 1,700$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…a062backed Yes | 12c | 1,521$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…cc13backed Yes | 17c | 1,515$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6873…1a58backed Yes | 8c | 1,383$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,303$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810e…24e1backed No | 77c | 1,290$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…3313backed No | 69c | 1,110$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…5a19backed Yes | 29c | 1,019$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…4d5bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…8e54backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…1612backed Yes | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…b154backed Yes | 13c | 746.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 8c | 731.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…9bfdbacked Yes | 41c | 729.27$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…9c61backed Yes | 7c | 718.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…7194backed Yes | 22c | 674.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 71c | 662.72$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…84bbbacked Yes | 16c | 647.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1751…3535backed Yes | 11c | 630.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…215ebacked No | 72c | 597.39$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…5d64backed Yes | 3c | 586.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…56d5backed No | 71c | 579.91$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +1,690%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 4c | 544.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 20c | 524.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…e6d1backed Yes | 18c | 449.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…7e58backed Yes | 14c | 422.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 4c | 411.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…9c8ebacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…4d1bbacked No | 78c | 386.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes | 5c | 369.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0236…b119backed Yes | 14c | 355.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…3e25backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…51e6backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…7eb3backed No | 66c | 282.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…2c86backed Yes | 9c | 279.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb2…9dbdbacked No | 58c | 275.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…1caabacked Yes | 9c | 275$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…111fbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11a…5777backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…066bbacked Yes | 24c | 264.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 25c | 262.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c06…de33backed Yes | 42c | 240.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…d656backed Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…cf33backed Yes | 14c | 217.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…d472backed Yes | 41c | 212.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…6520backed Yes | 14c | 206.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…581fbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42a…fa68backed Yes | 30c | 192.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37d…feb8backed Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…4c27backed Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…2fdfbacked Yes | 11c | 189.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 44c | 186.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…ce35backed Yes | 61c | 179.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…a52cbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e2…d962backed Yes | 39c | 161.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…fe96backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e5…0126backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…3864backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…0bd6backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…d412backed Yes | 39c | 128.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…be57backed Yes | 10c | 125.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…dd4dbacked Yes | 14c | 125.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes | 24c | 125.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…4a57backed No | 79c | 124.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…05f4backed No | 80c | 120.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 120.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05cf…64d2backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…08e5backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…443abacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 21c | 102$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…a4c5backed Yes | 34c | 94.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…88d0backed Yes | 38c | 72.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 18c | 70.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…f5d1backed Yes | 43c | 67.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…825fbacked Yes | 15c | 65.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…5664backed Yes | 32c | 63.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Berachain launch a token in November?this page
- Will Berachain launch a token in December?No won
- Will Berachain launch a token in October?No won
- Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.