Token Launches · resolved market
Will Berachain launch a token in December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc596c7f92eea16cd3e5609c5074cfdb6ed76e919e3af890a4776ceb1247cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,672$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…1d61backed No | 63c | 18,902$11,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,951.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…89e4backed Yes | 37c | 16,045$5,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,936.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412e…844dbacked Yes | 15c | 9,748$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 20c | 8,652$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.61 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…eed7backed Yes | 24c | 6,905$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 9c | 6,075$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.8 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…71e0backed Yes | 10c | 5,452$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…3e25backed Yes | 14c | 5,184$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Yes | 16c | 5,039$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…dab9backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…6790backed Yes | 21c | 4,815$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…0badbacked Yes | 38c | 4,537$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 3,836$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.51 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…bc6cbacked No | 67c | 2,288$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…5064backed Yes | 45c | 2,221$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…8905backed Yes | 44c | 2,150$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…7720backed Yes | 29c | 2,105$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…5015backed No | 79c | 2,078$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…a9dfbacked Yes | 16c | 2,030$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…2c59backed Yes | 11c | 1,948$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…1428backed Yes | 31c | 1,876$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 16c | 1,800$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 79c | 1,787$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.74 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f39…928ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,743$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…437cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,650$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Yes | 24c | 1,591$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…574ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaae…6538backed Yes | 10c | 1,373$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…f78ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,346$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…5d64backed Yes | 19c | 1,300$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed No | 70c | 1,290$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.08 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedb2…9dbdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,185$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…876cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,177$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f7…346fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,136$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…a2a2backed Yes | 22c | 1,121$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…a1f5backed No | 66c | 1,054$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…99b1backed Yes | 20c | 1,009$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…8002backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…75e4backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…8609backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…2a08backed Yes | 43c | 994.49$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…ee74backed Yes | 46c | 968.43$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes | 33c | 967.74$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…eaadbacked Yes | 10c | 950$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…2e0bbacked Yes | 14c | 926.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 7c | 923.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…4d5bbacked Yes | 28c | 841.82$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335b…8c32backed Yes | 18c | 827.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…de7ebacked Yes | 24c | 806.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…834bbacked Yes | 11c | 792$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…33a9backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 7c | 660.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 6c | 646.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 22c | 609.46$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…1025backed Yes | 8c | 539.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 33c | 525$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…e4fcbacked Yes | 3c | 505.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…16a5backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 9c | 481.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 6c | 457.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb2…1750backed Yes | 38c | 453.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…f85dbacked Yes | 44c | 452.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 19c | 437.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 9c | 419.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…9c8ebacked Yes | 23c | 413.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…d3b6backed Yes | 38c | 395.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 44c | 363.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…54afbacked Yes | 22c | 356.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…9c61backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4121…835bbacked Yes | 8c | 329.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 31c | 319.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Yes | 22c | 319.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d7…8b78backed Yes | 14c | 311.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…a8dcbacked Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…0fc7backed Yes | 41c | 292.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…4012backed Yes | 4c | 278.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 15c | 278.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +272.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…f006backed Yes | 34c | 273$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…213abacked Yes | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 16c | 249.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 7c | 222.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…df32backed Yes | 35c | 216.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9c51backed Yes | 42c | 215.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…8913backed Yes | 17c | 208.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…6be4backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…7d34backed Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…2ea1backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…4d1bbacked Yes | 46c | 185.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…4549backed Yes | 10c | 178$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…904bbacked Yes | 30c | 170.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 18c | 168.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…9ad0backed Yes | 15c | 162.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 25c | 162.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…59fcbacked Yes | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…2162backed Yes | 6c | 161.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Berachain launch a token in December?this page
- Will Berachain launch a token in November?No won
- Will Berachain launch a token in October?No won
- Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.