TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,10017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes43c28,862$12,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,451.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes37c5,703$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,598837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No55c3,331$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.1715750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bec…129abacked Yes46c2,013$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f5…c156backed No56c2,013$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked No55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked No57c1,800$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc89b…451fbacked Yes44c1,700$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No69c1,516$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.614067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x50d3…af3ebacked No56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes43c1,344$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.083638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No66c1,079$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.935040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes7c1,000$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9283633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes44c983.1$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.5413046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No71c928.09$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.4230743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No46c872.01$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.129038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c861.19$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.173,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461f…582fbacked Yes45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c755.25$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.044,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed Yes45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No55c628.22$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5225648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No66c499.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.996250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d81…711dbacked Yes45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045f…964bbacked No56c449.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No69c443.03$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9427453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes45c418.36$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.14850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes45c417.78$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.783372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No55c414.86$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.484845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes16c400$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3367445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No54c399.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c360$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.825872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c358$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes43c347$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6548934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda47…95dcbacked Yes45c314.62$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No55c302.22$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.223060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72e1…20c6backed Yes15c261.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.091625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No53c260$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb502…d4d4backed No56c230$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…70c8backed Yes45c230$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes15c222$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.797525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No54c209.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8710956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No55c199.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes16c159.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.771353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+95.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes45c153.33$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.332751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.53571.4%25 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.364946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes45c134.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5828342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No57c126.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3514759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes31c115.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.915151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11cd…c12bbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.113243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+228.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes45c93.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4811261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes45c93.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.337045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b3…2beabacked No56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked No56c89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.841827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c83.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a8…8466backed No55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked No54c79.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.753432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes45c74.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No55c73.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.612551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes33c69.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes46c65.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.331145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…71cdbacked Yes45c60.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61450%7 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54df…3449backed Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x970c…b40dbacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9993…a4cfbacked Yes45c47.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b8c…cce3backed No57c44.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba03…f806backed Yes46c43.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No57c42.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2f9…02e3backed Yes45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce2d…84d7backed No56c41.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed No64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-69.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes46c27.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.676139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49f…b920backed No56c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff26…b20dbacked No56c24.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.