La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73330cf905c4bf224e09f9f38cfcf642a74601885b5e1e303a52f8ee02e8f3ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 6,192$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.95 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 4,953$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.92 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 53c | 2,640$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.13 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 52c | 2,347$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.32 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 2,089$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 48c | 2,039$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.83 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 1,737$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.14 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 28c | 1,306$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.89 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 19c | 1,116$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 1,104$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 20c | 885.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.69 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 637.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.97 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 47c | 632.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 48c | 630.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 48c | 609.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 53c | 586.83$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 47c | 529.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 56c | 460.86$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 52c | 400.21$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 354.19$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed Yes | 48c | 282.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 55c | 262.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 48c | 235$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 44c | 229.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed Yes | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 192$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 52c | 159.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 153.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 51c | 133.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f7…e1d8backed Yes | 43c | 128.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 20c | 113.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 47c | 105.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 102.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 42c | 99.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 53c | 94.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…be29backed Yes | 49c | 85.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 47c | 84.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 42c | 71.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 47c | 67.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked No | 58c | 63.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 57c | 61.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 54c | 61.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 46c | 60.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…f1c9backed Yes | 42c | 57.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 52c | 50.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…ff9dbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…4489backed Yes | 42c | 42.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a99abacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…0ce4backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2241…4017backed Yes | 45c | 38.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 56c | 35.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…22c4backed Yes | 62c | 35.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked No | 54c | 32.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Valencia vs. Villarreal end in a draw?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.