La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19580b087e5143434a95afe28145ac4e242c68b8b98fb9667534cd071d18e536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 6,189$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.17 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 5,100$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 4,797$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,550$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,195$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.65 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 1,832$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.64 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 1,826$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.71 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,512$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Yes | 25c | 1,224$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,071$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.63 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 29c | 911.08$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 815.32$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 27c | 741$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 436$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 26c | 349.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 26c | 283.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…cdbebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 19c | 160.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…341cbacked Yes | 9c | 127.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 74c | 107.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 76c | 78.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…19a3backed Yes | 27c | 73.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…649abacked Yes | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 58.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed No | 74c | 40.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…5d20backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…af7fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Valencia vs. Villarreal end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.