Serie A · resolved market
Will Verona win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x310d72c2824e7525a9fb7db16b827337106c0e20c3bfe89267cf943fc56a0053
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 41c | 58,852$23,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,862.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 63c | 31,262$19,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,707.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes | 38c | 22,087$8,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,407.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 59c | 21,337$12,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,667.95 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 20,193$8,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,102.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 37c | 10,495$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.26 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked No | 62c | 8,075$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 37c | 5,625$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.21 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 60c | 4,010$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 38c | 3,038$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,165$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.27 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 38c | 2,105$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 59c | 1,988$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.72 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 40c | 1,726$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.29 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 41c | 1,678$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.33 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b13…cd27backed No | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…f876backed Yes | 42c | 1,400$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Yes | 42c | 1,356$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 63c | 1,254$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 783.89$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.25 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked No | 64c | 781.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 59c | 707$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.87 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 59c | 640$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.4 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 60c | 601.67$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 39c | 600$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…1e9dbacked Yes | 40c | 475$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 27c | 333$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…5cd1backed Yes | 32c | 300.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 37c | 293.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 61c | 284.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 275$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 203.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 39c | 199.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…6bbbbacked No | 60c | 192.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 36c | 160.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 62c | 129.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…eb06backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…3b2fbacked No | 62c | 108.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked Yes | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 79c | 106.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…83fcbacked Yes | 39c | 97.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Yes | 39c | 76.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 61c | 70.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…c3d0backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 37c | 53.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…2916backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 60c | 47.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…b2f0backed No | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…a246backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…1794backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…c452backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…df3dbacked No | 65c | 21.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Verona win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-03?Yes won
- Will Verona vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.