Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d83e48c04951e68c6c0d42883192022635b748208d31a4febff6e51de874bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 28c | 17,311$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,464.01 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 7,815$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.24 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 70c | 4,192$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 47c | 1,692$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,668$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.34 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 1,550$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed No | 67c | 1,538$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Yes | 33c | 1,536$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…f416backed No | 70c | 1,489$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Yes | 30c | 1,488$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,218$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,167$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.59 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 34c | 1,059$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 31c | 1,005$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.13 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 29c | 1,001$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.66 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 665.33$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.73 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 30c | 546.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.67 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 524$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.61 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 71c | 505.28$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.75 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 28c | 452.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 9c | 451.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 404.63$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.39 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked No | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 35c | 214.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 71c | 189.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 30c | 179$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…230fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 12c | 159.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 143$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 29c | 127.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed No | 75c | 120.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 31c | 102.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 73c | 69.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 32c | 65.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 24c | 61.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 31c | 55.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…8328backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 67c | 49.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…ece6backed Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…37b6backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 24.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will Verona vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Verona win on 2025-10-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.