TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed No54c2,454$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.7293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes47c2,149$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.587958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No57c1,807$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.817126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No56c1,260$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.611,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes46c1,149$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.394257.1%24 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Yes43c808.79$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.799331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No56c765.5$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6840736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked No55c683.72$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.213834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f2…5bbebacked Yes44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+99.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c563.09$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.944,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c545.16$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0285…938abacked Yes44c490.85$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No54c490.34$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7818246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c464.85$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.843,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes45c448.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.052119%4 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed9a…83efbacked Yes45c438.28$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.172040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes43c382.81$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.211135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes45c375.85$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.927767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes43c274.67$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.29254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked No59c270.21$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.819047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed No57c236.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c235.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.991,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes45c222.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9718247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Yes45c222$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.16056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c208.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef9…f97cbacked Yes43c208.23$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c188.27$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No54c181.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2334035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9b…7a04backed Yes46c180.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes44c175.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9151429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No56c174.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6827745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.676845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7914738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes44c155$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.810728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes42c153.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8522026.4%58 W · 162 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No55c136.7$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.881554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No51c120.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.582,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Yes42c119.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.862755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Yes45c117.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7810540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.283450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ce…9c25backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff6…2712backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+85.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes60c102.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.022128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes46c100.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1725641%105 W · 151 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc860…1a89backed Yes45c100.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes42c95.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.435856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.220862%129 W · 79 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No54c78.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5934238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.185824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1822752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes45c66.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2711939.5%47 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a90…946abacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.223063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes40c61.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1710539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a27…cc88backed Yes44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.64420.5%9 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes40c59.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1433345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.826235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes43c55.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8114047.9%67 W · 73 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Yes45c55.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.215060%90 W · 60 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5060…c607backed Yes44c54.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.72045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed Yes43c51.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.163655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes44c50.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.484658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked No54c50.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.319854.1%53 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes60c50.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2216152.2%84 W · 77 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.554859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes41c48.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3413242.4%56 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed No60c47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf16…7428backed Yes43c45.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.841520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…ba25backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf348…b237backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb74…090dbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.444231%13 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1466…2879backed No60c44.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes46c43.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8882340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb724…577dbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No56c39.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3210248%49 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Yes45c38.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.042138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x405f…7de4backed Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed Yes70c33.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No40c33.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.289838.8%38 W · 60 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c33.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x848f…9cdabacked No57c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969a…508dbacked Yes43c31.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x027f…5298backed Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes53c30.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2620968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfea9…4453backed Yes45c28.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c2a…1d9abacked Yes44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe63b…df08backed Yes65c26.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91c8…a101backed Yes43c25.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.192441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3063…65b3backed Yes43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.254864.6%31 W · 17 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x154d…6bf9backed Yes44c24.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.874841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…2f7cbacked Yes45c24.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab8…d621backed Yes56c23.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.393863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No54c22.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.977352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7819856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.