Music · resolved market
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x600c6599bdbf7077bd063238a1686cf2eecbdf637f78a8435c896a48910f6886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 40c | 1,466$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.48 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 61c | 1,424$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 33c | 1,119$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 33c | 942$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 68c | 934.73$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.91 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 796.71$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.87 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…9019backed Yes | 69c | 718.49$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 68c | 397.58$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 33c | 384$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 68c | 294.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed No | 38c | 279$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…8ee7backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 35c | 245.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 26c | 221.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 38c | 196.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 66c | 182.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 34c | 173.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750a…b59bbacked Yes | 68c | 170$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed Yes | 68c | 160.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 68c | 157$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 65c | 145.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 69c | 144.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 32c | 139.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 31c | 137.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 22c | 118.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 35c | 111$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 68c | 110.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 31c | 101.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 33c | 96.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 73c | 82.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 30c | 82.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 47c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 65c | 76.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked Yes | 67c | 75.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed No | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…18ddbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 69c | 72.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 64c | 71.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…7388backed No | 35c | 70.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 20c | 68.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…5e21backed No | 35c | 56.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d49…bcd8backed Yes | 72c | 55.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 27c | 55.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 63c | 54.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed3…16cabacked No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…049fbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 34c | 48.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…494bbacked Yes | 73c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 64c | 39.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9071…a3d8backed Yes | 64c | 36.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…1e50backed Yes | 66c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…94bdbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…b83fbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd2…7a8cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…9c2abacked Yes | 66c | 26.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…266dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…e623backed Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…d813backed Yes | 70c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.