Us Politics · resolved market
Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928e1a66c3b5d19fe8e426dde0536c36d08006209e6b5373dab3261064d82d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4da0…deb5backed Yes | 67c | 56,326$37,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,587.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…d242backed No | 33c | 56,326$18,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,587.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,389$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 1,560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…ebcfbacked No | 2c | 1,036$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 710.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 4c | 538.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed No | 40c | 385.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 23c | 375$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 10c | 367.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 76c | 367.37$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 57c | 341.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 73c | 305.96$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 19c | 297.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…83bfbacked No | 15c | 279.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 67c | 268.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 13c | 254.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…cfa2backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 62c | 204.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 7c | 201.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 60c | 185$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…1d8dbacked No | 11c | 175.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 17c | 168.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…7b51backed Yes | 77c | 162.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 65c | 160.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91cf…54bfbacked No | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…938fbacked No | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 23c | 138.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…8840backed Yes | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…aec0backed No | 22c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked No | 12c | 114.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked No | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…7606backed Yes | 56c | 103.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…9969backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…fa21backed No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…7b93backed No | 70c | 71.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5326…f3efbacked No | 70c | 64.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 23c | 59.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 22c | 48.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked No | 51c | 47.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…9c51backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ce…de32backed Yes | 65c | 31.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…1853backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked No | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf71d…2b7abacked Yes | 79c | 17.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.