Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ab3fb332af0bebf7ed6df1b1d5e1cc32a91e960c57d7602a5224830cf0084b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5810…0f18backed Yes | 11c | 24,550$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 0c | 22,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,661$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 5c | 9,121$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.1 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 4c | 7,071$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 4c | 6,253$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.65 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…9e4abacked Yes | 3c | 5,610$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…75f3backed Yes | 18c | 5,577$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 13c | 5,490$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.87 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…97bfbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,877$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,523$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,350$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…e457backed Yes | 7c | 4,078$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 78c | 3,710$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,681$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…d7f0backed Yes | 5c | 3,124$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 3c | 2,987$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,957$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 4c | 2,707$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 78c | 2,557$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.27 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…61d6backed Yes | 22c | 2,459$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…85dfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,436$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +169.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…2f03backed Yes | 13c | 2,223$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Yes | 30c | 2,135$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,044$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…d0b7backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,996$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…783dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,920$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +484.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…5bfabacked Yes | 11c | 1,868$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…d4a2backed Yes | 3c | 1,734$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…60c2backed Yes | 7c | 1,730$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Yes | 10c | 1,726$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,724$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 3c | 1,708$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…7ddbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,684$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,670$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 6c | 1,577$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes | 6c | 1,538$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,381$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…7581backed Yes | 10c | 1,353$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 70c | 1,258$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.53 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,256$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,250$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 3c | 1,206$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 15c | 1,130$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,107$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0723…2762backed Yes | 21c | 1,100$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…6c64backed Yes | 10c | 992.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 980.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…3f0cbacked Yes | 10c | 936.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 926.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 7c | 892.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 865.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 68c | 849.19$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.69 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 15c | 828.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…c229backed Yes | 7c | 806.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 795.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…c557backed Yes | 6c | 786.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…4377backed No | 76c | 745.82$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 67c | 741.27$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 10c | 720$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 8c | 700$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…6320backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…4624backed Yes | 1c | 690.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 673.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Yes | 10c | 609.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 11c | 591.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 577.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…7f61backed Yes | 3c | 574.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 564.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 13c | 561.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 8c | 547.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 11c | 539.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…a18fbacked Yes | 30c | 507.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 503.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 27c | 502.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 9c | 484.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 5c | 484.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 5c | 481.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 7c | 468.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…49a1backed Yes | 11c | 461.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…67debacked Yes | 6c | 459.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +542.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 9c | 445.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…dfa0backed Yes | 3c | 411.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd07d…e09dbacked Yes | 3c | 371$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +384.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…3a47backed Yes | 6c | 370.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 14c | 361.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 3c | 357.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 10c | 355.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…8aabbacked Yes | 12c | 327.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Yes | 15c | 324.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297f…4381backed No | 79c | 302.44$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…1f78backed Yes | 34c | 294.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.