Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ab26420f9bc44fc7a39f238a18a22ae3ba08ea4810bfe53af309d91e1870ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 15,000$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182.27 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 52c | 9,723$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.11 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 46c | 8,558$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 57c | 6,312$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.05 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 5,465$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.5 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 77c | 4,416$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 45c | 4,058$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.22 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 45c | 3,807$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 53c | 2,841$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.18 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,590$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 44c | 2,321$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…fd5abacked No | 47c | 1,917$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…82ecbacked Yes | 55c | 1,917$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…7c96backed Yes | 55c | 1,631$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…8507backed No | 47c | 1,631$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 79c | 1,180$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked No | 45c | 1,019$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.65 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…1e9dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 45c | 999.78$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.9 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 33c | 999.75$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.14 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 55c | 916.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 831.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 8c | 756.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 55c | 581.82$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 56c | 529.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…4953backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…c434backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…49cebacked No | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…008cbacked No | 46c | 499.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcb…a2aabacked No | 26c | 449.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…d82dbacked Yes | 54c | 447.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 53c | 400$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…77fbbacked Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 47c | 399.19$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 71c | 329.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 54c | 306.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…b2c8backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked No | 46c | 269.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 75c | 265.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 54c | 263.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f1…958ebacked Yes | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 46c | 239.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 6c | 221.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…52dcbacked No | 46c | 218.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5a21backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d85…43d8backed Yes | 55c | 212.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…be77backed Yes | 78c | 204.17$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a44…3fd2backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 57c | 199.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 43c | 194.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 80c | 193.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 37c | 190.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 55c | 183.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 55c | 182.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…aceebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…f323backed Yes | 71c | 177.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 58c | 173.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f9b9backed Yes | 58c | 172.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Yes | 56c | 150.32$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0e6bbacked No | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…053fbacked No | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa685…349fbacked Yes | 55c | 138$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 76c | 130.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 54c | 120.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 55c | 109$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 34c | 102.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…5e6bbacked Yes | 58c | 100.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Fenerbahce vs. Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will Nice win on 2025-10-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.