Us Politics · resolved market
Will Elon apologize to Trump before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca1317baac6b21577a2ceb1e13e44d4bb5d04a0dfd3739efd7c8ce96317947c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8d3…69f9backed No | 77c | 11,948$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,188.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 0c | 10,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 22c | 7,598$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.71 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 26c | 7,054$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.92 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 73c | 2,499$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.69 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 18c | 2,478$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.91 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed No | 76c | 2,390$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 51c | 1,770$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 15c | 1,486$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.97 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 76c | 1,302$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.79 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 22c | 1,214$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.77 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,187$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.45 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 20c | 1,148$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.12 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked No | 5c | 1,066$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 79c | 1,046$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 74c | 1,028$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.52 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 80c | 1,025$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed No | 75c | 1,000$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.24 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 76c | 820$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…2e19backed Yes | 24c | 757.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.8 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 25c | 700$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.93 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 489$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.32 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed No | 72c | 373$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes | 59c | 370.11$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 26c | 351.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.03 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…c5efbacked Yes | 14c | 299.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…4fd7backed No | 80c | 299.74$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 295.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 27c | 294.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed No | 77c | 280$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 24c | 260$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked No | 76c | 258.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 27c | 258.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 71c | 258.09$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f62…d7b0backed No | 79c | 253.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 76c | 250$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked Yes | 19c | 246.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed No | 75c | 227.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…2a9dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…f036backed Yes | 15c | 193.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 75c | 181.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 25c | 176$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 18c | 162.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked No | 76c | 152$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed No | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 37c | 147$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…8a0cbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 75c | 135.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 70c | 130.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 129$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 73c | 128.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 26c | 128.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 19c | 119.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 76c | 113$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 102.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 17c | 100.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0299backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…64c1backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 74c | 99.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…3582backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…8613backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…0aacbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…3bb1backed No | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0d97backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 68c | 48.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…1cffbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x112d…86b2backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…7e81backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked No | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…8e49backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…700ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…ef0dbacked Yes | 77c | 24.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…819abacked No | 70c | 18.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked No | 69c | 15.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.