Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ccdf2f2bf8f9d51d20c4933f8bdec15feea18384fe39cfc34fc3a7e8ab7eab0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $882,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $950,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $882,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 44c | 495,140$217,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277,943.78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 56c | 159,823$89,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,736.64 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 56c | 149,108$83,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,500.6 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 56c | 100,000$56,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,399.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 38c | 97,349$36,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,900 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 57c | 74,680$42,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,683.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes | 43c | 56,999$24,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,528.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 56c | 26,567$14,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,877.52 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 59c | 24,392$14,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,391.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 39c | 23,434$9,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,331.39 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 42c | 9,889$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.39 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 30c | 7,880$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,524.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed Yes | 43c | 7,543$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 56c | 7,500$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 42c | 5,981$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.03 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 43c | 5,486$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 57c | 4,868$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.64 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 26c | 3,900$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 44c | 3,890$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.47 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 43c | 3,693$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.02 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 67c | 3,670$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.95 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,282$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.86 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…283bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,942$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 58c | 2,672$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.98 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 39c | 2,151$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.54 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…73c6backed No | 60c | 2,121$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…e7d4backed No | 60c | 2,112$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…79debacked No | 60c | 2,103$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 40c | 1,903$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.63 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 59c | 1,643$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.79 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…129abacked Yes | 43c | 1,610$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…2a40backed Yes | 43c | 1,595$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 2c | 1,446$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 40c | 1,278$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 57c | 1,238$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.52 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 17c | 1,228$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…66ffbacked No | 59c | 1,066$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 58c | 1,064$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.07 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 1,058$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.83 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…c175backed Yes | 43c | 1,056$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,026$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.52 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 39c | 934.6$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.6 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 68c | 929.33$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 40c | 854.4$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 38c | 850$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…4690backed No | 59c | 829.51$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…21f7backed Yes | 42c | 754.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 59c | 734.23$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.2 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 76c | 649$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.24 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 56c | 610.15$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 57c | 535$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…d4cebacked Yes | 42c | 533.81$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…c156backed Yes | 42c | 526.38$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…26febacked Yes | 42c | 501.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 40c | 500.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.15 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f68…f736backed Yes | 43c | 500.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 58c | 451$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.58 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 45c | 446.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.81 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.57 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 44c | 428.52$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 58c | 422.17$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…2b89backed Yes | 42c | 409.19$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6647…da6dbacked No | 59c | 408.41$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 57c | 375.02$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Yes | 39c | 350$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 61c | 339$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 39c | 339$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 333.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 40c | 320.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 43c | 304.91$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 56c | 300.01$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 78c | 285.81$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.93 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 57c | 270$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…edb2backed Yes | 42c | 264.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.