TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-09-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$440,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No72c200,000$144,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,0002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c86,895$28,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,704.356,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes33c45,342$15,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,185.659450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes28c40,027$11,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,189.069450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes28c38,063$10,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,657.5835758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes24c22,942$5,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,506.0814544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes29c20,728$6,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1099636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed No50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes28c15,805$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,428.4210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No47c9,959$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,278.428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No76c7,000$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6807256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No69c5,822$4,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.0651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No72c5,172$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.2710737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No73c3,712$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.3310848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes30c3,048$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9946551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes4c2,548$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No70c2,531$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.3710455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes29c2,499$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.1827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No77c2,222$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0616851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No70c2,191$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.199849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c2,111$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes33c2,027$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.8730666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No52c1,915$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.094746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No72c1,647$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.324339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes28c1,531$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.5749254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7809148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c1,287$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.041,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c1,279$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.6468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c1,213$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.974,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Yes29c1,020$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes50c997$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.58842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes53c840.21$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.515042%21 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No70c628.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.74454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed No49c514.49$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes30c501.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes48c449.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9916737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes5c400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…a48abacked Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No74c372.57$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6817745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No72c355.56$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5618562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No51c353.52$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x131f…bb8dbacked Yes31c350.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes29c344.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c336$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes27c299.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8144036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No48c299.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes44c295.64$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No70c280.42$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.139637.5%36 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.787657.9%44 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes29c204.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes30c200.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5817153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564139%16 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104637%17 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe948…8e7ebacked Yes52c190.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcab…4821backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No74c171$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes27c168.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No56c160$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.617849.4%88 W · 90 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No71c155$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9510159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes28c152.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.744228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes51c150.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7730050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4859…0bb1backed Yes29c134.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392520%5 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5711449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No71c121.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.781662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No48c118.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.25149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e3…06f9backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes35c116$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.128246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db3…e657backed Yes52c111.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No71c109$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6111846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No48c104.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.497054.3%38 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No57c103.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1825545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes50c100.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa421…c61fbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2519460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303540%14 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes28c96.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0325339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa9…259ebacked Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed No72c93.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No75c87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes51c86.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4426548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No70c84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.