Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe08edfc509b6e3e0b3a78a118b3c48ed23b96174af41a16b4d3b0d3a104a6be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,387,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,036,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,387,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 7c | 242,653$17,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,332.44 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked Yes | 1c | 131,758$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 92,918$7,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,746.03 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 79c | 56,685$44,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,989.76 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 12c | 56,449$6,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,573.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 5c | 28,693$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 79c | 27,687$21,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 12c | 26,033$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.55 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed No | 74c | 23,217$17,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked Yes | 37c | 22,353$8,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,301.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…b042backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 24c | 17,150$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.04 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 8c | 17,129$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 10c | 15,000$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 65c | 14,939$9,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…a1a4backed Yes | 8c | 14,807$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…6d3abacked Yes | 2c | 14,672$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…3846backed Yes | 11c | 14,598$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 14,441$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.28 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 13,318$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 4c | 13,241$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.53 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 6c | 13,201$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…12c9backed Yes | 40c | 13,168$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 5c | 13,137$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.11 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…a150backed Yes | 8c | 12,584$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd0…ab8dbacked Yes | 5c | 12,333$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 12,014$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.05 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 4c | 11,906$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.62 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…e1aebacked Yes | 2c | 11,666$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…b85abacked Yes | 4c | 10,805$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ac…5fbdbacked Yes | 9c | 10,790$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 5c | 10,339$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 9c | 10,076$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Yes | 2c | 9,990$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 5c | 9,550$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.53 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 7c | 9,009$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.67 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 37c | 8,262$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 15c | 7,988$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 21c | 7,933$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.21 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 15c | 7,657$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 9c | 7,613$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.69 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 7c | 7,513$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…8ceabacked Yes | 53c | 6,970$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 26c | 6,967$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 4c | 6,823$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Yes | 18c | 6,771$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 0c | 6,565$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…b1afbacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 8c | 5,939$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.9 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 7c | 5,890$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 5,801$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.47 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…0d06backed Yes | 3c | 5,750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 0c | 5,685$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 8c | 5,642$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 5,528$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 64c | 5,205$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…48fbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,028$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 72c | 4,808$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…0ac9backed Yes | 13c | 4,802$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2eeebacked Yes | 1c | 4,655$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 6c | 4,594$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.78 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…9390backed Yes | 19c | 4,450$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…23fabacked Yes | 1c | 4,327$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…9dafbacked Yes | 15c | 4,311$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a9…792cbacked No | 68c | 4,275$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…a96ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,083$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…562fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,074$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 12c | 4,030$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 61c | 4,000$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,000$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…b156backed Yes | 2c | 3,947$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 5c | 3,938$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…e9e3backed Yes | 8c | 3,917$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 6c | 3,860$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Yes | 1c | 3,852$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…c04ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,680$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,600$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 7c | 3,572$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.03 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 16c | 3,545$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.11 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…ec0cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,528$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 7c | 3,482$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4881…540bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,405$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…cb74backed Yes | 4c | 3,329$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…fec6backed Yes | 13c | 3,298$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 21c | 3,278$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,260$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…c815backed Yes | 5c | 3,232$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff65…b77abacked Yes | 8c | 3,168$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 79c | 3,099$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.7 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…39b9backed Yes | 10c | 3,032$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d8…1461backed Yes | 8c | 3,015$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…6747backed Yes | 4c | 2,933$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…b0cfbacked Yes | 16c | 2,884$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…9370backed Yes | 18c | 2,872$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…1d9ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,839$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,819$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed Yes | 7c | 2,805$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 2,776$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.42 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.