Music · resolved market
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a5cae1f8a59c6120d89832567b899be1bff42ca39c5e473c56d7583802135a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2551…5a18backed No | 33c | 59,254$19,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,700.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…fb6fbacked Yes | 67c | 59,254$39,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,700.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…89b3backed No | 42c | 41,569$17,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,110.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…d5c8backed Yes | 58c | 41,569$24,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,110.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…4ebbbacked No | 33c | 31,771$10,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,286.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…d451backed Yes | 67c | 31,771$21,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,286.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 63c | 29,261$18,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,448.74 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 37c | 8,987$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 36c | 4,065$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 70c | 3,305$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 37c | 3,268$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.81 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,665$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…6d85backed No | 37c | 1,110$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…b326backed Yes | 63c | 1,110$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 63c | 887.98$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 62c | 859.31$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.63 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 62c | 849.26$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.58 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 65c | 750$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c2…eacbbacked Yes | 57c | 690$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…edddbacked No | 43c | 690$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 67c | 633.19$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 62c | 561.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed No | 63c | 547.47$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 22 | 95.5%21 W · 1 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a6…2295backed Yes | 63c | 470$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ab…69d4backed No | 37c | 470$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…e763backed Yes | 64c | 466.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 60c | 449.95$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 61c | 440.11$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 64c | 420$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 62c | 412.73$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 42c | 388.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.92 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 59c | 362.02$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 59c | 355$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 333.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.89 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 64c | 311.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 28c | 299.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 38c | 292$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 64c | 252.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b90fbacked No | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 63c | 242.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 37c | 230$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 33c | 225$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked No | 44c | 213.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 68c | 208.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…9d4bbacked Yes | 64c | 180$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 59c | 170.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6bb9backed Yes | 65c | 152.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 135.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 37c | 130.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…ca22backed No | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 38c | 129.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 56c | 125.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 65c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 37c | 124.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaee…7a60backed Yes | 67c | 111.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 30c | 111$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 39c | 110.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked Yes | 56c | 107.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 39c | 106.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 31c | 104$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 36c | 97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…becdbacked Yes | 63c | 87.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…f1b8backed Yes | 63c | 87.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…dc24backed No | 41c | 86.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…0791backed Yes | 60c | 78.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 36c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 40c | 75.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…0d55backed Yes | 69c | 74.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…443bbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…94ddbacked No | 42c | 72.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 58c | 70.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 35c | 69.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 60c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…1fe9backed No | 32c | 64.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…139cbacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 32c | 58.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…c4e5backed No | 44c | 57.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 70c | 57.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 57.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…f4c6backed No | 35c | 56.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…ac2dbacked No | 41c | 51.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?this page
- Will Albania be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Austria be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Belgium be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Czechia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Estonia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Finland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will France be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will Italy be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Malta be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Netherlands be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Switzerland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Ukraine be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will another country be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.