TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Finland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,896 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes4c2,288$89 inLost-$88.7722927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…6a60backed Yes3c1,480$47 inLost-$46.762123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c1,381$28 inLost-$28.2324732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,316$30 inLost-$29.944629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes5c1,280$60 inLost-$60.2715119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes3c997.97$26 inLost-$25.711618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0f…ab47backed Yes3c988.95$26 inLost-$26.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff1…de19backed Yes3c961.35$30 inLost-$29.66310%0 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes2c938.75$20 inLost-$19.715145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes4c746.93$26 inLost-$26.141526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Yes2c673.66$12 inLost-$11.67267.7%2 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes7c609.75$41 inLost-$40.561435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes5c587.22$28 inLost-$27.737234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes3c570$14 inLost-$14.25520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes8c526.58$40 inLost-$403327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes4c519.75$22 inLost-$22.362817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes3c507.36$15 inLost-$15.550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes5c501.42$24 inLost-$24.353330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes8c477$39 inLost-$38.8310529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…3a28backed Yes7c322.4$22 inLost-$221118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-50.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ae…78b3backed Yes4c300.74$13 inLost-$12.5440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes5c298.56$14 inLost-$143836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee65…24d9backed Yes5c258.59$13 inLost-$12.571216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x24a4…d49ebacked Yes4c256.93$11 inLost-$11.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b2…296ebacked Yes6c237.76$14 inLost-$13.841442.9%6 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick16cpaid+208.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4efd…76f2backed Yes7c166.64$12 inLost-$11.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.