TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Austria be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,741 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb747…b050backed Yes3c10,146$313 inLost-$313.365145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ec…4612backed Yes3c1,847$57 inLost-$57.492416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes7c1,804$120 inLost-$1203836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4da…2db1backed Yes4c1,347$53 inLost-$52.73166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-71.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes3c1,088$32 inLost-$32.092817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,068$35 inLost-$34.894629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes3c999.19$34 inLost-$34.071618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c592.36$14 inLost-$13.6924732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd794…efe1backed Yes3c586.81$15 inLost-$14.851625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8762…a5a1backed Yes5c500$25 inLost-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+88.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd535…fa67backed Yes3c499.97$16 inLost-$163839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40f…dbe0backed Yes2c452.07$11 inLost-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes8c375.65$30 inLost-$303327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes3c350$11 inLost-$11.24440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes4c349.99$15 inLost-$15.04520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes4c299.96$10 inLost-$10.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15f6…045bbacked Yes4c285.97$11 inLost-$10.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad41…a848backed Yes4c285.7$12 inLost-$12.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa07…deabbacked Yes4c284.36$12 inLost-$11.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x431d…4457backed Yes4c248.54$10 inLost-$10.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes6c222.37$13 inLost-$13.383737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4b…f637backed Yes7c216.8$15 inLost-$14.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd7c…3d14backed Yes6c186.12$11 inLost-$10.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fc…0469backed Yes7c175.53$13 inLost-$12.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.