Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9156485d76502748eb0691965b468006b94b148661fa9e11481e00408b087a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 25,199$16,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,008.02 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 35c | 24,659$8,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,525.35 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 13c | 3,581$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 34c | 2,104$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.47 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 2,018$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 54c | 1,731$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.04 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 65c | 1,607$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 45c | 1,599$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.55 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 18c | 842.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 796.12$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 790$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 33c | 787.88$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 49c | 619.2$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 594.33$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed No | 55c | 500.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 47c | 348.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 302.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes | 46c | 241.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 46c | 237.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 54c | 213.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 19c | 198.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 77c | 198.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 23c | 155.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 52c | 143.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…ed86backed Yes | 31c | 127.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 47c | 113.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 53c | 80.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 54c | 69.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…7e3fbacked Yes | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 56c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Udinese vs. Cagliari end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.