TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c7,590$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.113,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5505763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes51c4,983$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.253748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes51c4,539$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.8112269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No49c3,468$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.5715151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes52c3,125$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6253354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes38c2,628$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002425%6 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No67c2,592$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.084658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No80c2,081$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.682339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.8120132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No49c1,930$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.35532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No49c1,930$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.22540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c1,220$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.662,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes35c1,112$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes49c1,024$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.761145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No61c946.22$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7133055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No48c935.89$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No51c914.09$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.94854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes49c820.11$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6516242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes51c799.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes52c608.93$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.648742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No65c534.18$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2912247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes49c530.61$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes25c512.96$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes50c510$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.96923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes52c507$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes49c450.73$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes49c414.29$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No48c358.75$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.144959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1825253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes13c350$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed Yes36c348.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes51c318.46$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.198240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c302.93$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1710332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No52c234.62$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.626753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes52c218.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.98456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes53c190.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No51c187.78$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.012958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes42c137.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227d…a39cbacked Yes52c128.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes50c111.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.38453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.915376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xc277…b59bbacked Yes36c109.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No69c109.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3d…c9d9backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6563…5025backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed No61c89.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.851266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes50c85.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes35c85.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes49c81.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b29…5a9abacked No75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes45c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes35c67.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.844860.4%29 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes20c65.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0120042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb03…2276backed Yes51c65.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No49c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.155135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee68…9e8fbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9512…c0d3backed Yes38c52.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf9…c886backed Yes49c51.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d77…31cabacked Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00af…4e8bbacked Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6a…65e1backed No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.