World Politics · resolved market
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97363787afb78965f91ec4b571e2f574029ddb3d1c5afb9f2bebeedb4c617683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $815,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $815,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 69c | 37,240$25,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,645.21 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 7c | 32,765$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.66 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 38c | 32,192$12,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,357.17 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 1c | 31,713$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 113 | 1.8%2 W · 111 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 28c | 24,884$7,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,037.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…ee2bbacked No | 68c | 17,846$12,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 74c | 17,737$13,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.5 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 24c | 16,727$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.46 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 62c | 16,157$10,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,068.44 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0522…a5a8backed Yes | 3c | 14,584$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 14,050$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.46 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 74c | 12,736$9,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.53 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f2…59e2backed Yes | 5c | 11,571$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 65c | 10,623$6,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,924.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…9381backed Yes | 3c | 10,508$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 16c | 10,455$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.8 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 67c | 10,243$6,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.66 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 23c | 8,661$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…1f21backed Yes | 18c | 6,981$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 23c | 6,819$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 63c | 6,767$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.58 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc7…b6e4backed Yes | 56c | 6,610$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…3c96backed Yes | 15c | 6,178$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 23c | 5,783$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.4 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…7955backed Yes | 5c | 5,609$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 7c | 5,414$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.41 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 38c | 5,369$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.14 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 65c | 5,242$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.15 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 74c | 5,117$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.91 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 78c | 5,081$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.5 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…482dbacked Yes | 27c | 5,063$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c7…801bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,877$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b5…fe06backed Yes | 2c | 4,861$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 74c | 4,768$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…310cbacked Yes | 26c | 4,276$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 59c | 4,142$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.52 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 63c | 4,005$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.49 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 20c | 3,893$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 3,709$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.11 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 3,307$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.83 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…8258backed No | 62c | 3,303$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…e5a4backed Yes | 51c | 3,229$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 74c | 3,012$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.9 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 32c | 2,941$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.26 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…09f2backed Yes | 26c | 2,911$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 57c | 2,822$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 24c | 2,723$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.48 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…1853backed Yes | 1c | 2,623$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 25c | 2,506$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.22 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…ff9fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,389$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…2829backed Yes | 34c | 2,302$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 77c | 2,140$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.63 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…4feabacked Yes | 1c | 2,136$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17d…0d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,122$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,113$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,073$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…e918backed Yes | 5c | 2,045$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…7a66backed Yes | 17c | 2,032$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…a343backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed Yes | 24c | 1,996$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.36 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 73c | 1,976$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed No | 60c | 1,953$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 64c | 1,882$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.72 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 32c | 1,870$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.03 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…9cc1backed Yes | 11c | 1,834$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…0fd9backed Yes | 13c | 1,784$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 11c | 1,700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…4ee0backed No | 75c | 1,638$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…6311backed Yes | 26c | 1,611$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…b2e6backed No | 77c | 1,580$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,514$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 39c | 1,511$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…61a6backed Yes | 15c | 1,499$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…42fcbacked No | 70c | 1,484$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 67c | 1,455$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.85 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 1,431$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.42 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…4741backed Yes | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 55c | 1,396$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.4 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 44c | 1,335$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.56 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…3142backed No | 73c | 1,300$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Yes | 36c | 1,269$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 25c | 1,227$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.89 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…5449backed Yes | 2c | 1,212$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…0672backed Yes | 10c | 1,192$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 62c | 1,173$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.58 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed Yes | 27c | 1,172$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b9…a718backed Yes | 43c | 1,155$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…0a75backed Yes | 33c | 1,142$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,118$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 74c | 1,111$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.79 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…adaebacked Yes | 2c | 1,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…33c1backed Yes | 45c | 1,021$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 28c | 1,004$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 55c | 993.39$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 35c | 973.48$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…88f2backed No | 62c | 967.81$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.