Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa37bcb2aec3a653b4d3446406ce605b1e7dc668fc2ee3902ddf7ca6552585f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 28c | 42,930$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,879.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 1c | 32,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 2c | 25,560$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.26 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…3689backed No | 0c | 21,751$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…f07bbacked Yes | 79c | 17,937$14,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 79c | 16,926$13,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.22 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…f1c9backed No | 25c | 13,469$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 14c | 12,071$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…2b5bbacked Yes | 78c | 11,656$9,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked No | 1c | 10,710$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…42a4backed No | 1c | 10,694$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…5ea9backed No | 1c | 10,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…fa02backed Yes | 57c | 9,762$5,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 14c | 9,000$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.12 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 19c | 8,440$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.87 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…fb37backed Yes | 74c | 7,440$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 68c | 7,210$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.93 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…4cc4backed No | 2c | 7,167$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…7388backed No | 1c | 6,788$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…2442backed No | 9c | 6,744$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…71babacked No | 2c | 6,160$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…32cbbacked No | 12c | 5,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed No | 14c | 4,250$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 34c | 3,702$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…457bbacked No | 24c | 3,699$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 8c | 3,654$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,637$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…1d2bbacked No | 21c | 3,600$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…91bdbacked No | 2c | 3,559$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 11c | 3,200$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b7…1eccbacked No | 0c | 3,160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 18c | 3,077$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.58 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…f62bbacked Yes | 70c | 3,021$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 78c | 2,960$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 75c | 2,939$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.78 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 11c | 2,922$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…bdf5backed Yes | 64c | 2,808$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.48 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 16c | 2,806$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.39 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 3c | 2,671$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a7…776bbacked No | 32c | 2,637$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…e34ebacked No | 2c | 2,634$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…6a7dbacked No | 8c | 2,606$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 19c | 2,474$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 20c | 2,466$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 18c | 2,465$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…81fbbacked No | 16c | 2,352$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 9c | 2,170$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed No | 32c | 1,902$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 4c | 1,838$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 69c | 1,750$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.05 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 20c | 1,664$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.66 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked No | 62c | 1,610$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 23c | 1,565$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.08 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…bcbfbacked No | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 38c | 1,335$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.89 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 73c | 1,323$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.66 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 75c | 1,289$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.37 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…7f8dbacked No | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 14c | 1,199$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…25a6backed No | 17c | 1,126$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233d…6a8abacked No | 14c | 1,049$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 21c | 1,046$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 78c | 1,012$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…e956backed No | 16c | 1,007$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…b8a8backed No | 18c | 977.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 70c | 971$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed No | 18c | 968.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…ce01backed No | 21c | 948.86$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…1f55backed No | 22c | 912.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7d…52bebacked No | 33c | 905.91$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed No | 13c | 900.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 18c | 889.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 9c | 862.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0d…be76backed No | 30c | 840.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 60c | 834.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed No | 35c | 775$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed No | 29c | 766.13$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 12c | 725.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 22c | 722.72$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…12debacked No | 14c | 719.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…76b1backed No | 22c | 712.72$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…1fa1backed No | 21c | 710.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 22c | 690.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…ec9abacked No | 11c | 689.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…c46abacked No | 5c | 625$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea36…f272backed No | 32c | 616.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked No | 12c | 609.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 600.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…66b8backed No | 39c | 590$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…d56fbacked No | 7c | 588.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc052…8524backed No | 16c | 560$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed No | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 66c | 537.15$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.67 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed No | 30c | 519.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed No | 43c | 508.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.