Middle East · resolved market
US strikes Yemen before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9840e7924f7458f9a4cea9d3b117238d9dc68ea07f861c9a42c382d74744387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 77c | 11,846$9,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.58 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 15c | 5,782$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.19 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 4,209$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…9ed0backed Yes | 12c | 4,094$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 10c | 3,959$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.55 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…8414backed Yes | 13c | 3,761$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 16c | 3,704$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.07 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 11c | 2,720$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,384$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.97 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 9c | 2,305$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…f397backed Yes | 41c | 2,300$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,239$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 9c | 2,091$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 16c | 1,825$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…9d7cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,670$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,531$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 17c | 1,456$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 11c | 1,439$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 21c | 1,408$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…2bf7backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 7c | 1,282$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…a061backed Yes | 15c | 1,100$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…0b1abacked Yes | 15c | 1,012$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 17c | 986.57$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 11c | 938.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked Yes | 11c | 923$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 65c | 799.99$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 13c | 793.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 19c | 782.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 16c | 756.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 22c | 740.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 14c | 712.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…eddbbacked Yes | 9c | 685.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 11c | 685$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…024fbacked Yes | 11c | 665.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 3c | 632.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…4069backed Yes | 14c | 627.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 23c | 551.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…576dbacked Yes | 16c | 539.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 79c | 523.45$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 21c | 513.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…d3c8backed No | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 32c | 470$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…fc53backed Yes | 47c | 467.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5065…fdbbbacked No | 74c | 446.88$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…8805backed Yes | 5c | 442.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 22c | 437.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 8c | 415.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes | 8c | 398.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 18c | 390$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…f752backed Yes | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…fbc3backed Yes | 19c | 378.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 37c | 350$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…60b1backed Yes | 3c | 344.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 17c | 342.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 333.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237c…93ffbacked Yes | 6c | 324.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…4cc4backed No | 80c | 316.15$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 11c | 296.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 21c | 292.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…5be1backed Yes | 14c | 266.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 261.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 15c | 259.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…2cf8backed Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 74c | 237.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…b78fbacked Yes | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 6c | 229.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1371…1b24backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…0b91backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 66c | 211$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 7c | 205.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…cc26backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 19c | 193.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 22c | 183.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…bf35backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 164.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…9bafbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 35c | 153.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…9640backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…db17backed Yes | 20c | 147.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed Yes | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 7c | 142.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Yes | 22c | 138.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Yes | 19c | 138$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 15c | 135.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e2e4backed Yes | 23c | 131.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b05…8dacbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x65e1…a479backed Yes | 10c | 119.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 12c | 119.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.