Us Politics · resolved market
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b73c31eaf5cba67c7f78d22c580b2b1d5ca43fdb960a57d455fad79202e7e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d17…9558backed No | 66c | 9,053$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 53c | 8,215$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.16 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 52c | 6,156$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.78 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 28c | 4,744$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.7 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 37c | 4,119$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.32 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 13c | 3,932$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…9dfbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,809$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 43c | 3,706$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.01 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 54c | 3,622$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.85 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…5553backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 3,348$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 51c | 3,293$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.18 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 56c | 3,278$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.52 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…2357backed Yes | 14c | 3,137$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 3,085$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 34c | 3,060$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.39 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 67c | 2,681$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.91 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 30c | 2,638$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.67 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…8a7cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,351$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…a2c4backed No | 54c | 2,295$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 20c | 2,206$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 62c | 2,152$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…8c9cbacked Yes | 65c | 2,054$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 1,874$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.66 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 43c | 1,864$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.84 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 39c | 1,860$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…89b6backed No | 36c | 1,768$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 76c | 1,761$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.77 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,711$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…547ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,709$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 25c | 1,676$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.98 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed No | 68c | 1,551$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed No | 63c | 1,509$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 45c | 1,472$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.28 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 49c | 1,463$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.66 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 68c | 1,389$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 54c | 1,377$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed No | 72c | 1,370$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…d53dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,256$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 53c | 1,183$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.16 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 55c | 1,179$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.51 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 1,167$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…d208backed No | 64c | 1,097$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…14a8backed No | 48c | 1,090$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…165cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,090$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…a012backed Yes | 27c | 1,050$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…2846backed Yes | 34c | 1,023$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Yes | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.64 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked No | 45c | 998.58$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…4c9fbacked Yes | 62c | 977.73$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed No | 71c | 938.59$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 28c | 927.29$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 34c | 909.46$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 37c | 900$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 49c | 891.96$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked Yes | 71c | 839.84$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 34c | 831.06$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Yes | 4c | 817.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed No | 71c | 803.94$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 31c | 788.56$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.23 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…fdb4backed No | 64c | 779.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 62c | 776.29$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 761.35$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked No | 66c | 753.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 45c | 691.65$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 47c | 691.03$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 63c | 649.91$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.04 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 72c | 611.58$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed No | 57c | 600.03$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.27 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 29c | 559.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 60c | 554.5$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.23 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 65c | 553.03$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed No | 53c | 538.21$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…c280backed No | 61c | 528.06$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…fc53backed Yes | 29c | 525.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 46c | 515.66$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.69 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed Yes | 53c | 508.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 38c | 502.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.89 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed No | 46c | 500$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 64c | 494.51$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.04 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 43c | 484.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 32c | 476.12$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…5dd6backed No | 73c | 469$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 67c | 457.45$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed No | 60c | 449.67$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…0fc7backed No | 45c | 447.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 24c | 434.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 74c | 430.78$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…a68dbacked No | 46c | 430.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 35c | 428.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…bafcbacked Yes | 69c | 425.64$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 44c | 422.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 422.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 69c | 400.17$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 42c | 376.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 44c | 375.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.