Us Politics · resolved market
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f01ee8fd008ef6f23beae7397ebebbd237d940bfd1a890b512158a8397d5391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 71c | 13,922$9,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.04 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 36c | 11,222$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 8,725$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.3 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 26c | 7,949$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.85 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…a2f3backed Yes | 64c | 7,034$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 63c | 6,379$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 58c | 4,219$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 72c | 3,076$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 59c | 2,833$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.5 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 72c | 2,088$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.67 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 80c | 1,850$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 1,837$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.6 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 19c | 1,294$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +540.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 27c | 1,221$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.3 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9217backed Yes | 26c | 1,134$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 39c | 1,029$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.01 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 74c | 1,019$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 11c | 949.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.49 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 59c | 896.15$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 50c | 882.13$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.81 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 37c | 844.01$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.68 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…01ccbacked Yes | 41c | 823.57$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…a628backed Yes | 59c | 790$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…eaadbacked Yes | 9c | 748$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,033.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 29c | 721.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.54 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 7c | 720$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.24 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 75c | 720$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 46c | 621.29$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 39c | 602.16$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.48 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 59c | 591.21$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.74 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 74c | 583$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…501ebacked Yes | 11c | 550$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +841.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 58c | 541.49$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 44c | 533.14$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.42 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…134bbacked Yes | 10c | 530$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +240%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 55c | 503$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 27c | 445.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 77c | 431$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.57 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbce…30bebacked Yes | 50c | 397.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 61c | 388.53$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 51c | 387.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 51c | 370$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked No | 25c | 350$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 5c | 340.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +300%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 326.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 12c | 319.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 64c | 313.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 76c | 291$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 73c | 268.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…1474backed Yes | 59c | 255.62$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db2…4ca2backed Yes | 6c | 222$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…27f7backed Yes | 6c | 219$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 204.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0120…57b2backed Yes | 11c | 200$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +778.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ca81backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 10c | 194.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…517ebacked Yes | 6c | 191$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…6bcdbacked Yes | 29c | 157.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…1af7backed Yes | 54c | 148.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 26c | 142.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 138$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 76c | 129.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 45c | 125$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 67c | 122$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 55c | 117.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 70c | 116.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 54c | 114.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 49c | 108.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed No | 55c | 100.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 50c | 95.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…038cbacked Yes | 23c | 79.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…7926backed No | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…a7ecbacked Yes | 32c | 66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 77c | 50.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 73c | 44.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 45c | 42.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…367cbacked Yes | 52c | 39.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 34c | 34.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…7078backed Yes | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 40c | 29.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…9679backed No | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…fee9backed No | 58c | 17.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…8101backed No | 63c | 16.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…f554backed No | 63c | 16.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?this page
- Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 20% and 25%?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 30%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.