Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP dip to $2 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e7413d80d0c05a401ca5a90167a60b41fa262884cd5d58411db30023379e806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 16c | 33,995$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.7 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 42c | 12,103$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.1 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 9,664$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 47c | 8,377$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.52 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 39c | 7,390$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.11 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 41c | 6,195$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 61c | 5,521$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 21c | 4,097$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 2c | 4,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…6aa8backed Yes | 56c | 3,573$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 73c | 3,340$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…a80abacked No | 2c | 2,156$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 60c | 2,136$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.35 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.67 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…fbf5backed No | 3c | 1,980$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed No | 9c | 1,900$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…8876backed No | 34c | 1,672$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 3c | 1,594$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 40c | 1,364$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.32 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,150$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 6c | 1,068$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.35 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…128fbacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 33c | 910$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 836.65$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed No | 51c | 687.96$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 51c | 643.81$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 56c | 600$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 12c | 590$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 4c | 586.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 527.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5662…9a3ebacked No | 31c | 486.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…7935backed No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 53c | 425.59$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…2556backed No | 8c | 413$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 49c | 378.83$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 44c | 360$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 25c | 284.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 12c | 267.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…a8aabacked Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 59c | 163.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 40c | 151.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…d951backed No | 12c | 114.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…1c57backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…d977backed No | 45c | 85.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…f7f9backed No | 48c | 66.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 41c | 65.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 44c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…c84bbacked No | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2a5bbacked No | 43c | 54.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…6ecdbacked Yes | 59c | 51.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…e3d8backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed No | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 63c | 42.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03e…abe5backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…f652backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3181…0d1dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddb…ca89backed No | 36c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…2fa0backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…aba7backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP dip to $2 in June?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.2 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.3 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.5 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.8 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.