Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $2.5 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dad8a4567500d5eff7102f8796c327f51cc96bbd575c31afda25a6bfa45001a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 11c | 82,722$9,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,358.4 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 5c | 21,136$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 75c | 14,356$10,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.7 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 3c | 13,104$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.21 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d5…8fd3backed Yes | 1c | 12,746$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…1295backed Yes | 7c | 11,732$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 40c | 7,205$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.19 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 14c | 6,632$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.05 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 32c | 6,409$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 33c | 4,806$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 36c | 4,722$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.53 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 3c | 3,839$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 75c | 3,838$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.77 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 77c | 3,823$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 36c | 3,770$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 6c | 2,773$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 55c | 2,690$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 72c | 2,560$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.74 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…61a1backed No | 78c | 2,132$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed No | 79c | 1,803$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.2 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 13c | 1,534$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…e21dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,325$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 60c | 1,301$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,118$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,099$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 48c | 1,093$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.38 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 52c | 1,000$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.8 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 22c | 939.13$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…08d4backed No | 59c | 771$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…45bfbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 30c | 635$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 14c | 574.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 17c | 550$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…d7f2backed Yes | 4c | 501.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…839fbacked Yes | 2c | 480$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 384.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…c87abacked Yes | 6c | 350.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…57f6backed Yes | 15c | 334.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 55c | 323.35$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 63c | 287.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 48c | 270$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 44c | 250.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 45c | 221.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…435ebacked No | 72c | 213.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed No | 78c | 210.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…4e16backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…5954backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…2bb1backed No | 70c | 186.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…d50ebacked Yes | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…ec51backed Yes | 9c | 149.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 73c | 140.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed No | 64c | 139.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b5…d117backed Yes | 16c | 122.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b1…3bcabacked No | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 104$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 32c | 101.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…da06backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…b208backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…c3bbbacked Yes | 47c | 91.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b90fbacked Yes | 42c | 75.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 40c | 74.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…e0aabacked Yes | 32c | 67.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2a5bbacked No | 42c | 55.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…fbf5backed No | 54c | 53.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…0d25backed No | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…bc49backed Yes | 49c | 40.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…1a42backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 42c | 38.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…1c5bbacked No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e786backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddb…ca89backed No | 55c | 33.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf56…af49backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $2.5 in June?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.2 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.3 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.8 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.