Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cfc35bf4044322532f2c1967a215a2af46fd08d07ce2c67b0bcbad10b0a803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 14c | 104,596$14,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,359.8 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 76c | 34,000$25,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,217.54 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 56c | 31,428$17,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,765.54 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 64c | 16,824$10,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.15 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 36c | 15,000$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…533abacked Yes | 0c | 12,466$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 9c | 8,382$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.89 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 26c | 6,333$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.59 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 49c | 5,557$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.07 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,300$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 12c | 5,264$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.9 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 52c | 4,308$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 6c | 4,195$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.74 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 5c | 3,743$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,595$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…5ebcbacked No | 69c | 2,279$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 48c | 2,142$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 60c | 1,967$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.75 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…8876backed No | 53c | 1,793$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.68 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 53c | 1,520$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.1 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…bb60backed No | 77c | 1,292$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.24 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed No | 55c | 981.35$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 42c | 777.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.72 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 24c | 720$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…08d4backed Yes | 42c | 597.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 55c | 570.09$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 17c | 568$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed No | 72c | 527.93$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 17c | 521.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 19c | 513.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 15c | 503$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 12c | 442.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 45c | 434$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…648dbacked No | 61c | 400$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…2fd4backed Yes | 15c | 375$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…763bbacked No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b1…3bcabacked No | 47c | 343.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 53c | 330$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…8b29backed Yes | 4c | 303.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 78c | 268.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…7148backed Yes | 46c | 249.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…f652backed No | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 69c | 213.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…3a36backed No | 54c | 184.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…3f6ebacked No | 55c | 183.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 40c | 168.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5662…9a3ebacked No | 74c | 165.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 72c | 153.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…fbf5backed No | 34c | 134.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…61a1backed No | 65c | 130$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 54c | 123$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 56c | 112.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 97.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…c84bbacked No | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…4aa7backed No | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…4c14backed Yes | 35c | 62.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddb…ca89backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…d3bcbacked Yes | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…6072backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…f262backed No | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 65c | 37.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…24b9backed No | 68c | 37.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 41c | 35.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 56c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…e234backed No | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…99a1backed Yes | 32c | 32.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…817cbacked No | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked No | 57c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…25c2backed No | 53c | 19.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb255…b38fbacked No | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cd…d7f7backed Yes | 54c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…a360backed Yes | 55c | 18.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ce79backed Yes | 58c | 17.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…912fbacked Yes | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…0460backed No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…b4dfbacked No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…c832backed Yes | 67c | 15.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.2 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.3 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.5 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.8 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.