Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dc05c0d070b9c53cdd44d44ef87992e13936f7fbc6614b69689e7274cc34762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 8c | 35,960$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.95 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…533abacked Yes | 0c | 21,017$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 17c | 18,752$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.36 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 17c | 13,176$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.97 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…6aa8backed Yes | 16c | 12,775$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 12c | 11,129$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 2c | 10,687$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 16c | 9,569$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.6 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 10c | 4,255$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,274$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 76c | 3,000$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 4c | 2,487$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 75c | 2,123$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.21 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…61a1backed No | 76c | 1,539$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 21c | 1,388$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,285$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.24 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,134$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 75c | 1,100$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…31dfbacked No | 73c | 999$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 930.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 13c | 874.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2cf1backed No | 75c | 689.99$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 17c | 646.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…398fbacked No | 77c | 553.13$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 12c | 509$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed No | 78c | 322.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…eae8backed Yes | 35c | 287.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 77c | 199.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 197$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 74c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 79c | 93.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 20c | 91.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 24c | 81.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 78c | 61.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddb…ca89backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed No | 78c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe16a…6c21backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 28c | 37.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked No | 78c | 32.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…42e7backed No | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe420…87e4backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…8e32backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…6142backed No | 79c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.2 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.3 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.5 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.8 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.