Middle East · resolved market
Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a785217de858ed4e7cf0d1a13721ce2e394938c2e5d48e0ead24c4411f0601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122f…0412backed No | 62c | 28,254$17,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,736.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…fa5ebacked Yes | 38c | 28,254$10,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,736.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 24c | 17,891$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.56 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 14c | 6,071$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 73c | 5,129$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.69 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 20c | 3,623$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked No | 80c | 3,457$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 66c | 3,446$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.71 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 3,134$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.01 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 30c | 2,983$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.97 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,784$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 44c | 2,681$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.52 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 23c | 2,674$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.03 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…d428backed No | 72c | 2,559$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 71c | 2,352$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.23 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,269$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.09 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 18c | 2,147$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.74 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 41c | 2,072$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.19 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 13c | 2,032$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.91 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 2,014$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.23 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…aaf5backed Yes | 16c | 1,922$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 21c | 1,691$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.06 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 43c | 1,611$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.89 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 68c | 1,549$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.92 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…f6e0backed Yes | 11c | 1,536$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 36c | 1,465$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.39 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…512abacked No | 68c | 1,455$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…edcabacked Yes | 15c | 1,445$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…8180backed Yes | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 6c | 1,357$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 80c | 1,336$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.21 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…2677backed Yes | 8c | 1,211$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 19c | 1,202$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 23c | 1,176$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.55 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 30c | 1,166$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.96 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,155$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,127$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,101$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 17c | 1,100$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 30c | 1,082$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.63 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 1,046$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed No | 78c | 1,020$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…77c3backed No | 80c | 1,007$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 16c | 958.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 954.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 952.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…7c6abacked Yes | 30c | 935.19$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed No | 66c | 926.78$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.3 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 47c | 900.21$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.6 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 24c | 900$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 69c | 849.72$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.02 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 66c | 799.97$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 21c | 787.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…67fbbacked Yes | 45c | 781.9$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 17c | 719.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 31c | 700$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Yes | 8c | 695.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 71c | 694.72$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…dbc0backed No | 71c | 689.37$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 7c | 678$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed No | 64c | 657.67$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 74c | 650.53$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 17c | 627.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…ea89backed Yes | 42c | 621.91$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…f1f0backed Yes | 40c | 603.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…a96dbacked Yes | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…7500backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 58c | 530.54$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…99dbbacked Yes | 19c | 505.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 73c | 503.33$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 64c | 500.73$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 57c | 471.34$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 65c | 450$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 71c | 449.28$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…d27fbacked Yes | 21c | 445.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e9…9fb1backed Yes | 12c | 425$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 15c | 424.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 30c | 412.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 49c | 411.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…86a0backed Yes | 19c | 408.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 10c | 405$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked Yes | 37c | 391.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 66c | 391.03$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed No | 65c | 381.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 69c | 378.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 38c | 352.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 36c | 340.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 16c | 323.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…fa50backed Yes | 25c | 321.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…525abacked Yes | 28c | 307.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…a3dabacked No | 71c | 294$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 74c | 289$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…3453backed Yes | 19c | 280.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…39dcbacked Yes | 27c | 262.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a7…4453backed Yes | 19c | 262$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…699ebacked Yes | 34c | 256.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.