Movies · resolved market
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7094b08d8bce9301c6c7f9e39830f3924ade7dbd503ede243f2d34e9d7f00b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 8,233$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.89 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 40c | 6,298$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.17 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 15c | 6,253$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.65 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 9c | 4,733$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.33 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed No | 5c | 4,479$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed No | 23c | 4,387$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.2 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 32c | 4,133$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.85 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 4c | 4,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 63c | 2,941$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.26 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 2,679$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Yes | 65c | 2,584$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 11c | 2,062$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.47 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 28c | 2,011$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed No | 6c | 1,997$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 3c | 1,905$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 20c | 1,837$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.39 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked No | 10c | 1,585$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…e131backed Yes | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 20c | 1,108$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 860.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 857$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked Yes | 50c | 855.46$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked No | 2c | 786.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed Yes | 51c | 700$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…4ea4backed No | 6c | 700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 556.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 74c | 481.53$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 57c | 443.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.29 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a8…4902backed No | 6c | 442.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…e56abacked Yes | 53c | 383.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed No | 5c | 379.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…f696backed No | 8c | 375.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 365.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked No | 30c | 345.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 62c | 327.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…56babacked Yes | 49c | 307.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 13c | 262.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 59c | 255.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…105dbacked Yes | 35c | 234.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked No | 12c | 211.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 14c | 211$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…500bbacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 57c | 198.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…9bc5backed Yes | 45c | 194.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…ebe9backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 49c | 176.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 31c | 174.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 80c | 171.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 60c | 168.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…b1c6backed No | 15c | 167.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 55c | 142$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…8eadbacked Yes | 72c | 139.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 73c | 137.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 75c | 134$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Yes | 59c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5a…0c39backed No | 61c | 121.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed Yes | 54c | 112.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 29c | 105.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…ae75backed Yes | 49c | 102.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…e10ebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…ef1fbacked No | 14c | 97.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 51c | 96.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…9263backed No | 14c | 83.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…e5a1backed Yes | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…8a6abacked Yes | 71c | 61.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…65fbbacked Yes | 71c | 58.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f5…32e0backed Yes | 58c | 51.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…924bbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…f22ebacked Yes | 59c | 47.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…0355backed Yes | 49c | 42.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 46c | 40.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…f055backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…2003backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…9768backed Yes | 40c | 34.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…324dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb473…b28abacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…5a48backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 80c | 24.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 21.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…157dbacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…66e8backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…f07dbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?this page
- Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $43–47M?No won
- Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $47–51M?No won
- Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $51–55M?No won
- Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $43M?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.