World Politics · resolved market
Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf59b8f3582259daf3ca4d0899b3f628d86e7f467797e8f2afacb597dab26d402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb62…c185backed Yes | 67c | 13,459$8,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 11,135$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.65 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 79c | 8,806$6,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 20c | 4,619$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.2 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed No | 22c | 4,381$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 27c | 3,600$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…361bbacked Yes | 79c | 3,302$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 49c | 3,156$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.66 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…5353backed Yes | 74c | 2,955$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b294backed Yes | 76c | 2,829$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 76c | 2,615$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 75c | 2,361$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.15 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed Yes | 66c | 2,277$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 32c | 2,150$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.69 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…3055backed No | 37c | 1,892$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 73c | 1,801$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 15c | 1,800$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 35c | 1,370$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked No | 1c | 1,325$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 4c | 1,300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 29c | 1,296$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.82 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…4b10backed Yes | 72c | 1,265$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.85 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…3186backed No | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.40per pick | 13cpaid | +770.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 1,185$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 48c | 1,161$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.31 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 50c | 959$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.66 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941c…b24ebacked No | 6c | 891$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 15c | 886.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…3909backed No | 6c | 810.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 68c | 788.88$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 69c | 701.99$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 20c | 555$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 55c | 520.13$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 13c | 517.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…1cffbacked No | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 49c | 428.25$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 75c | 409.69$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 357.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…0ec6backed Yes | 73c | 355.37$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 338.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 6c | 324.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 39c | 285.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 79c | 256.22$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…f71abacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…26d9backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 33c | 197.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 24c | 192.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 185.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 30c | 175.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…c449backed Yes | 56c | 165.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes | 72c | 143.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…bf69backed No | 26c | 139.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 76c | 132.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 8c | 131$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 114.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 34c | 107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…9640backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86cc…2a90backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…e5d1backed Yes | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…6bfcbacked No | 20c | 70.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…4165backed Yes | 75c | 62.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…4a58backed Yes | 75c | 60.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…8498backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 30c | 56.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37c…49bebacked Yes | 75c | 54.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7377…6414backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 55c | 49.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 52c | 44.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 55c | 40.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 59c | 40.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…18a1backed Yes | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 26.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…82e3backed Yes | 75c | 22.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…29e1backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…ec8abacked Yes | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?this page
- Will valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?No won
- Will valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?No won
- Will valid votes be between 36 million and 38 million in South Korean election?No won
- Will valid votes be fewer than 30 million in South Korean election?No won
- Will valid votes be more than 38 million in South Korean election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.