TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$569,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$471,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes17c113,939$19,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,641.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+76.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…765ebacked Yes2c40,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes5c25,902$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.756883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes3c25,256$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9116535.8%59 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…c815backed Yes1c21,830$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5870%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x638a…49f4backed Yes2c7,988$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-78.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes13c7,420$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.762955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes24c6,799$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.772630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes5c5,312$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.143234.4%11 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes10c4,268$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.01519.8%5 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+93.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb8…f4f1backed No77c3,978$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d12…caa9backed Yes38c3,723$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.742429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd150…55a6backed Yes1c3,458$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.221020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+101.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db1…46a4backed Yes11c3,324$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.491145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes5c3,305$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.461414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes26c3,229$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.035525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5117…49b3backed Yes16c3,206$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.792828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185414.8%8 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e8…41ffbacked Yes11c2,751$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes12c2,541$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.9848224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes39c2,476$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.362725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf919…4b10backed Yes30c2,448$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.272524%6 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes2c2,442$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.71344.5%6 W · 128 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes2c2,247$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.433935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,242$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.341,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf921…94dbbacked Yes12c2,120$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.282128.6%6 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes15c2,092$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.662425%6 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes10c2,020$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.86726.9%18 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes3c2,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0519623%45 W · 151 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes35c1,702$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+143.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes17c1,696$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.377225%18 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e79…b2d0backed Yes5c1,556$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes11c1,523$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.843938.5%15 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes19c1,500$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.154934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe238…27b3backed Yes11c1,411$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.741513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1e…714ebacked Yes22c1,395$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes17c1,393$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.995933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae2…12e9backed Yes5c1,335$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No60c1,249$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0657636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a55…71bcbacked Yes8c1,244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-78.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes6c1,205$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.411,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad99…ffd9backed Yes8c1,191$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.434540%18 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes15c1,187$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7719957.3%114 W · 85 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes17c1,170$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7245723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa50…8756backed Yes33c1,145$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.071637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505628.6%16 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c62…5d44backed Yes42c999.54$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.352433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes17c998.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.835420.4%11 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab74…1b45backed No76c904.87$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.794100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+220.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes4c870.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.224231%13 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c1…825fbacked Yes18c792.96$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.845113.7%7 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+106.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c3…0f1fbacked Yes21c788.21$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.56580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+142.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes4c717.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick34cpaid-11.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9063…3cc8backed Yes33c657.94$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.63033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb2…7a1cbacked Yes28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.22556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+116.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe421…a23dbacked Yes18c534.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8d…0e23backed Yes11c516.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840e…e9bebacked Yes39c510.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef5…f80ebacked Yes5c458.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes3c425$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.159631.3%30 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed Yes18c424.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.423537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59d…6bfcbacked Yes15c396$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.181717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ce…dea1backed No52c381.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+78.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a3…bdf2backed Yes4c376.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Yes5c365.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.614327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+189.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab24…8c8ebacked No74c322.17$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.54540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick76cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes20c305.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1356314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.954134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…f71abacked Yes43c275$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.961414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-61.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2a…1cb2backed Yes52c271.27$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.232240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No61c255$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5888448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a2…78f9backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+119.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x820a…6c52backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes23c240.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.776648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed No80c217.5$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.53040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e5…85f5backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.862548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+104.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1506…289ebacked Yes13c152$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes34c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.252040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed Yes39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.085728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd503…ef93backed Yes7c140$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+285.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcc…b294backed Yes37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.362441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes38c131.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505433.3%18 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d5b…3f99backed Yes29c102.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-57.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a9d…9de8backed Yes20c98.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203821.1%8 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick16cpaid-17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3626…538abacked Yes24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.86714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d3…29e1backed Yes24c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.364035%14 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes22c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe510…b0f0backed Yes41c72.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed No59c72.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Yes17c68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.365530.9%17 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc356…1c77backed Yes41c63.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.272433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No61c60.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4636742.5%156 W · 211 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7377…6414backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed Yes24c57.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.866536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9345…314dbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes33c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.236930.4%21 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes42c42.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.014766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No59c42.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0817227.9%48 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.