World Politics · resolved market
Will valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf276bfed7bc49b4c7bfa9bf1b684ab44f8f046b4d2d71cf24bd531bfb2a3f200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $569,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes | 17c | 113,939$19,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,641.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…765ebacked Yes | 2c | 40,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 25,902$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.75 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 3c | 25,256$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.91 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…c815backed Yes | 1c | 21,830$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…49f4backed Yes | 2c | 7,988$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 13c | 7,420$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes | 24c | 6,799$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.77 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,312$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 10c | 4,268$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.01 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…f4f1backed No | 77c | 3,978$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…caa9backed Yes | 38c | 3,723$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.74 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…55a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,458$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 11c | 3,324$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 5c | 3,305$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 26c | 3,229$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.03 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed Yes | 16c | 3,206$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.79 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…41ffbacked Yes | 11c | 2,751$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 2,541$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 39c | 2,476$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.36 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…4b10backed Yes | 30c | 2,448$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.27 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 2,442$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 2c | 2,247$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,242$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,120$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 15c | 2,092$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 10c | 2,020$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,702$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,696$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…b2d0backed Yes | 5c | 1,556$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 11c | 1,523$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…27b3backed Yes | 11c | 1,411$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…714ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,395$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 17c | 1,393$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae2…12e9backed Yes | 5c | 1,335$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 1,249$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.06 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,205$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 8c | 1,191$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,187$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 17c | 1,170$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.72 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa50…8756backed Yes | 33c | 1,145$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 42c | 999.54$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 17c | 998.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…1b45backed No | 76c | 904.87$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 4c | 870.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 18c | 792.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…0f1fbacked Yes | 21c | 788.21$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 4c | 717.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…3cc8backed Yes | 33c | 657.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…7a1cbacked Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe421…a23dbacked Yes | 18c | 534.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8d…0e23backed Yes | 11c | 516.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…e9bebacked Yes | 39c | 510.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…f80ebacked Yes | 5c | 458.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 3c | 425$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 18c | 424.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…6bfcbacked Yes | 15c | 396$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…dea1backed No | 52c | 381.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a3…bdf2backed Yes | 4c | 376.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 5c | 365.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…8c8ebacked No | 74c | 322.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 305.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…f71abacked Yes | 43c | 275$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…1cb2backed Yes | 52c | 271.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 255$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…78f9backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…6c52backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 23c | 240.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed No | 80c | 217.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…85f5backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…289ebacked Yes | 13c | 152$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes | 34c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed Yes | 7c | 140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b294backed Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 38c | 131.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…3f99backed Yes | 29c | 102.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Yes | 20c | 98.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…538abacked Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…29e1backed Yes | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe510…b0f0backed Yes | 41c | 72.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 59c | 72.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 17c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…1c77backed Yes | 41c | 63.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 61c | 60.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7377…6414backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 24c | 57.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…314dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 42c | 42.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 59c | 42.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?this page
- Will valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?No won
- Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?Yes won
- Will valid votes be between 36 million and 38 million in South Korean election?No won
- Will valid votes be fewer than 30 million in South Korean election?No won
- Will valid votes be more than 38 million in South Korean election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.