Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa675b986cf783e4ee24d8366fa206a60bee4d56406c972bd6ce5942dbaf5820

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,633 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x571c…c16abacked Yes	25c	20,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	75c	10,000$7,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	74c	6,978$5,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,844.61	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	26c	5,678$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453.24	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	24c	5,000$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	26c	3,846$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No	73c	2,955$2,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.38	179	58.1%104 W · 75 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Yes	27c	2,222$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	73c	1,993$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.16	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	24c	1,966$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.79	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes	26c	1,904$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.04	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57be…2bcbbacked Yes	27c	1,852$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Yes	26c	1,538$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	22c	1,490$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.8	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	73c	1,437$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.86	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	74c	1,424$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.6	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No	75c	1,272$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.61	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes	27c	1,118$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	141	56.7%80 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes	26c	1,064$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.64	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes	27c	1,000$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.35	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No	73c	939.67$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.03	386	45.3%175 W · 211 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes	26c	876.85$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes	24c	808.11$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.11	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+86.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	723.47$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes	17c	688.64$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.44	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes	23c	685.22$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	27c	652.74$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.24	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	74c	633.9$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.49	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	25c	599.99$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked No	73c	580.35$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.69	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes	29c	575.41$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.87	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes	27c	529.07$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.85	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No	79c	465.36$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.3	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	27c	375.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	27c	372.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+135.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No	74c	352.68$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.68	187	52.9%99 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes	25c	336.51$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.55	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x400b…a406backed Yes	27c	335.74$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes	27c	333.33$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	23c	332.08$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.37	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	211	53.1%112 W · 99 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes	27c	295$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.75	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No	76c	273.26$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.06	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…d8cebacked Yes	21c	227.78$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.92	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.26per pick	35cpaid	-84%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No	74c	216.96$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.96	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+8.0wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+23%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x477c…9cbabacked Yes	8c	204.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…3600backed Yes	26c	203.08$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	26c	194.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	327	37.6%123 W · 204 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes	26c	190.81$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.61	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No	73c	188$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.76	61	77%47 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	71cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	74c	178.24$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	72	23.6%17 W · 55 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	72c	146$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.88	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4343…b3a2backed No	75c	140$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No	73c	139.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8e…d191backed Yes	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+128.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes	27c	126.13$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228d…5d74backed Yes	28c	125$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…db98backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	25	56%14 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No	75c	99.68$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.92	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x530e…a4b2backed Yes	14c	99.23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes	13c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	27c	90$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	256	37.9%97 W · 159 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes	25c	89.68$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	213	53.1%113 W · 100 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…f088backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	43cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	29c	84.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…f242backed Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4e…2f37backed Yes	26c	76.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe86e…db71backed Yes	26c	75.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f1…de90backed Yes	26c	70$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc30…7f85backed Yes	25c	68.68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed No	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	101	54.5%55 W · 46 L	-9.6wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa367…f776backed Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	74c	52.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	520	60.4%314 W · 206 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddf…a6a6backed No	77c	51.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	72cpaid	-47%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9026…bf0bbacked Yes	27c	51.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae20…245abacked Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3b…86bdbacked Yes	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5522…5ff6backed Yes	26c	49.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No	74c	42.7$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes	29c	41.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf065…c418backed Yes	27c	40.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	245	66.1%162 W · 83 L	+24.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17fa…fef3backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0323…bd13backed Yes	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfb…25eebacked Yes	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa242…cd4bbacked Yes	29c	35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed No	78c	33.01$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.26	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed No	77c	26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.98	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ed…8aa5backed No	75c	19.27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.82	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No	74c	17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.36	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?this page
Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event