Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf12438a3514c83e44b1adf8469528981f710d6eb2753f6d589b3bb97c31c92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 77c | 32,440$24,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,449.58 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…e482backed Yes | 52c | 20,600$10,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,888 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 48c | 9,417$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.03 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 7,109$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.93 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 48c | 6,100$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.97 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 53c | 5,505$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 48c | 4,600$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 3,646$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.77 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.88 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 2c | 2,915$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…a7c1backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…5e65backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 49c | 1,765$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,111$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 50c | 966$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…d469backed Yes | 52c | 905.77$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Yes | 50c | 820.1$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 64c | 775.54$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…7040backed Yes | 49c | 750.61$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 59c | 745.73$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.82 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 50c | 732.3$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Yes | 61c | 727.83$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 53c | 702.28$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 50c | 674.88$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.07 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 45c | 664.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.46 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 52c | 600.21$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 53c | 599.98$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 45c | 599.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.45 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 79c | 577.93$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 53c | 565.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e9…62c3backed Yes | 77c | 493.51$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 53c | 390.21$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 48c | 386$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 28c | 374.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 50c | 367.64$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 43c | 350$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 297.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked No | 53c | 234.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 57c | 211.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed No | 52c | 211.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…6687backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965e…0062backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 49c | 202.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…7286backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 47c | 181.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 73c | 181.28$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…5e6bbacked Yes | 77c | 180.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 180.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 48c | 164.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…f0cebacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 49c | 148.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 70c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 78c | 124.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…0ea1backed Yes | 53c | 123.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 49c | 119$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 51c | 118.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…afe5backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…924cbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…3d49backed Yes | 48c | 103.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…da42backed Yes | 48c | 102.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 49c | 101.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5b84backed Yes | 49c | 101.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…853fbacked No | 53c | 100.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…bb4abacked Yes | 48c | 100.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…98c1backed Yes | 49c | 99.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…1ef1backed No | 53c | 99.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…c588backed No | 53c | 99.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…4c77backed Yes | 51c | 98.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…8fabbacked Yes | 49c | 98.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…21a4backed No | 53c | 96.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…ae81backed No | 52c | 95.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…9470backed No | 53c | 95.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…9751backed Yes | 49c | 93.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…b443backed Yes | 49c | 93.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…a3ecbacked No | 52c | 93.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d5d0backed No | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.