Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612c8e41ffed35ff1a6bb72acccaf4b3c11824715e09f2f65a7a959ca88284df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd90c…a40fbacked Yes | 31c | 55,134$17,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,091.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…8f1abacked No | 69c | 55,134$38,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,091.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…16c0backed No | 69c | 55,127$38,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,089.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…a60bbacked Yes | 31c | 55,127$17,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,089.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 27c | 22,247$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.21 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 28c | 7,181$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.25 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 24c | 4,466$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.54 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…689cbacked Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 29c | 2,815$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.74 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 31c | 2,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…6374backed Yes | 30c | 1,983$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 30c | 1,910$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.71 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 1,876$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.44 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 31c | 1,829$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.01 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 29c | 1,606$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.77 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…98f8backed Yes | 26c | 1,132$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 27c | 879.17$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 843$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 23c | 730$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…5e70backed No | 76c | 661.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 641.08$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.22 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 30c | 628.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed Yes | 22c | 618$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…719bbacked Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 21c | 599.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 28c | 553.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 488.88$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 31c | 449.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…61d1backed Yes | 26c | 429.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…7935backed Yes | 25c | 403.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 25c | 399.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 21c | 391.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 70c | 364.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 18c | 336.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 27c | 326.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 27c | 318.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 22c | 308.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 33c | 280$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…ec56backed Yes | 36c | 267.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 21c | 242$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 25c | 218.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…0e26backed Yes | 23c | 213.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 201.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…db49backed Yes | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 20c | 197.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 28c | 189.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 73c | 164.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…a88abacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2998…c264backed Yes | 33c | 151.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…73f0backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…6808backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…8581backed No | 75c | 133.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 32c | 132.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 76c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 121.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…2c89backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…f6e8backed Yes | 33c | 107.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6d…4a81backed Yes | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…12c3backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d0…4843backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…320ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…23bebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 31c | 85.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…e9fabacked Yes | 30c | 83.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…41a6backed Yes | 37c | 82.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…9356backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…ccc8backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…c3bfbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 73c | 40.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…c0cabacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.