Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4770749e98a9fe48fc3a2c8a4b197e0a29e91c66c2533a642032408249cafe9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 27c | 13,039$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,484.25 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 27c | 8,508$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.32 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 35c | 7,603$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.69 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 32c | 7,503$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.92 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 29c | 6,200$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 66c | 4,833$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,494$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 49c | 3,484$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…98f8backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 25c | 3,321$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 43c | 2,364$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 2,326$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.15 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…561dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,856$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.01 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 61c | 1,847$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.92 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 58c | 1,230$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…9364backed Yes | 45c | 1,008$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 52c | 1,000$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…9fe4backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…dc8fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 36c | 969.68$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 905.51$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.33 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 36c | 899.83$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.74 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1172backed Yes | 58c | 863.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 50c | 839$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 48c | 771.91$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 33c | 750.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.88 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 21c | 750$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.9 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 47c | 733$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 73c | 705.33$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…2c89backed Yes | 44c | 607.24$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 26c | 599.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…9015backed Yes | 52c | 542.45$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 530.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.53 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 530$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.14 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 59c | 530$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 60c | 503.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 43c | 484.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 26c | 447.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 48c | 422.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 70c | 369.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…e9c1backed Yes | 33c | 364.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 25c | 355$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 354.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31f…819bbacked Yes | 25c | 309.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…403ebacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed Yes | 44c | 292.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 43c | 241.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 59c | 235.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 33c | 185.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 47c | 181.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…c956backed Yes | 58c | 163.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 58c | 151.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…db49backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…9e17backed Yes | 45c | 146.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 39c | 141.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 44c | 135.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…8581backed No | 78c | 128.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 54c | 127.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 34c | 121.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 74c | 109.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…d51abacked Yes | 47c | 106.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 50c | 105.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6d…4a81backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…a68dbacked Yes | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 28c | 86.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…0fecbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…727fbacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 32c | 79.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…f6e8backed No | 69c | 78.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 41c | 77.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…312dbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…3e8abacked Yes | 59c | 50.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe787…4790backed Yes | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…512abacked Yes | 41c | 45.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 60c | 44.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked Yes | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…9356backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…4781backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2998…c264backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…3f35backed Yes | 54c | 33.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…054bbacked Yes | 45c | 32.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…4142backed Yes | 35c | 31.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…cad6backed No | 51c | 30.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…d867backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…9d7fbacked No | 67c | 29.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 55c | 28.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc956…75b3backed Yes | 42c | 28.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…d7f2backed Yes | 63c | 25.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…2ab2backed No | 50c | 24.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.