NFL · resolved market
Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb78b916e8d45c9d01e9ffd29bd0275f8ce80068887aa338ef4854410c1e12b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc130…1bb6backed Yes | 16c | 83,547$13,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,928.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +513.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 23c | 10,616$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,124.4 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 6,341$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.72 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 59c | 5,988$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…ec61backed Yes | 68c | 3,677$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 68c | 3,120$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.53 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 31c | 2,080$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 14c | 1,847$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…b0c5backed No | 11c | 1,012$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 26c | 780$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 80c | 720.37$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 35c | 717$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.23 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 78c | 690$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 7c | 660.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.93 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 65c | 530.15$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes | 67c | 487.18$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked Yes | 25c | 395.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.13 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 371.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…a683backed No | 11c | 347$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 24c | 319.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 22c | 209$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 14c | 208.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 40c | 193.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 12c | 190.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Yes | 75c | 175.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed No | 27c | 172.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…bb18backed Yes | 14c | 147$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 68c | 144.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…8e45backed Yes | 14c | 127$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04f…3648backed Yes | 13c | 123$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +642.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 76c | 122$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked Yes | 71c | 121.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 70c | 107.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…291dbacked No | 33c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 100.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 45c | 99.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 20c | 98.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…fb69backed Yes | 12c | 95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +740.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…b23bbacked Yes | 14c | 92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…e255backed Yes | 14c | 84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 15c | 83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b0…e884backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a9…9b4ebacked Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7b76backed Yes | 68c | 73.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…8ec7backed No | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 32c | 58.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked No | 36c | 55.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…22cbbacked Yes | 24c | 52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f6…040cbacked No | 32c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 51.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked Yes | 66c | 49.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…6db5backed No | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 58c | 40.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…fcf8backed No | 76c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…c2a8backed No | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…409fbacked No | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…2511backed No | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…9cf5backed No | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbeb…7bdfbacked No | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…0b34backed No | 32c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…4691backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…5d50backed Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…1790backed Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4aa…3559backed Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…252abacked Yes | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0875backed Yes | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…c64bbacked No | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b8…2cddbacked Yes | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…62abbacked No | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…6ba4backed No | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…acbfbacked Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…f66abacked Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…dbc1backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…8516backed Yes | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…c2b1backed Yes | 69c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…c85cbacked Yes | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd833…9520backed Yes | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…4198backed Yes | 69c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…3963backed Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…dc2cbacked Yes | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…b012backed Yes | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…5b27backed Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8a23backed Yes | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…4e70backed Yes | 70c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…bee0backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…abf9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…9331backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…744ebacked Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…e115backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b88abacked Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd5…7207backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…b2a6backed Yes | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…ff96backed Yes | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?this page
- Will the Giants draft Cameron Ward?No won
- Will the Giants draft Jalen Milroe?No won
- Will the Giants draft Mason Graham?No won
- Will the Giants draft Mykel Williams?No won
- Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders?No won
- Will the Giants draft Tetairoa McMillan?No won
- Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter?No won
- Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No won
- Will the Giants draft Will Johnson?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.