TailMyPicks
Market

NFL · resolved market

Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes15c10,541$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.0212934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes14c8,510$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.2118629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes16c3,853$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.475815.5%9 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes11c2,799$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.881769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes15c2,128$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.1428337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes20c1,125$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.814139%16 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes26c1,100$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked No70c944.17$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.221030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes10c496.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes13c383.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.431030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes12c377$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Yes11c357.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes16c325.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5822838.6%88 W · 140 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e72…9938backed Yes11c311$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-77.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d5…063cbacked No70c270$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.131957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes10c203.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes19c186.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6126830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes19c173.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes22c171.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.036913%9 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No80c157.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.748037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x986b…a0afbacked Yes17c153$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes14c151.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.279947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes21c151.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.358047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes23c143.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.727718.2%14 W · 63 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes31c140.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.962846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes28c136.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed Yes9c131$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20b…2cc0backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5333…22e1backed Yes17c95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c5…168abacked Yes45c93.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes24c76.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4531439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2115…b128backed Yes18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…72c9backed Yes18c69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ef…09d2backed Yes18c68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ae…34d4backed Yes18c68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes20c64.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.854926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x580f…b4fbbacked No71c64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ff…2cfebacked Yes18c62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb7…3817backed Yes18c62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe043…1c14backed Yes18c61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b0…aee1backed Yes29c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac7e…422ebacked Yes29c56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a8…9105backed Yes30c55.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.432825%7 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcab6…3d32backed Yes29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x468e…21eebacked Yes29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741e…8995backed Yes33c51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d01…592abacked Yes30c50.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1f…97d9backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.224443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7f…92e0backed Yes29c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b77…c82abacked Yes29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade1…1239backed Yes29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989b…cf08backed Yes29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36d…2c19backed Yes29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f57…e8b4backed Yes29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes45c44.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3960…4207backed Yes33c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d88…383ebacked Yes29c41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d8…81b8backed Yes33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdde9…9a8abacked Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f32…83f0backed No71c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5d…96d5backed Yes29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7977…02e4backed No71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d03…b338backed No68c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3418…a57dbacked No71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed No73c30.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.24632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157131%22 W · 49 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b5a…7c5abacked No71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…76c7backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ad…415ebacked No71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf485…96b1backed No68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd130…d66abacked No71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c98…a58bbacked No59c24.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.972075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f4…1bacbacked No71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…3109backed No68c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd29…b2e8backed No71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015b…c3e4backed No77c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e6…1e1abacked No71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…c051backed No71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0f…0483backed No71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5525…038fbacked No67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa753…f194backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…9065backed No67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1d…0435backed No67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2f…238fbacked No67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4a…5608backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39ff…2971backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04fd…87b1backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e40…7154backed No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b7…58d8backed No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f15…6d39backed No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9d97backed No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f0…8d4ebacked No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90db…6c63backed No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c06…e17dbacked No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad6…9cf0backed No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9669…73cdbacked No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fa…dee2backed No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…a65fbacked No79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4e…193bbacked No71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.