Champions League · resolved market
Will PSG beat Inter Milan in the first half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x578afd07b6212acb3e4e3cbd309013cf460cc059f18bf17b2b3f0f7f36b55b73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d87…edfcbacked Yes | 32c | 55,726$17,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,893.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…dbdebacked No | 68c | 55,726$37,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,893.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.98 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…3a5abacked Yes | 36c | 1,967$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 32c | 1,850$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.98 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 72c | 970.07$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 32c | 450.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.24 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 344.21$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes | 36c | 278.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 66c | 249.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 33c | 229.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.34 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 32c | 182.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 34c | 150.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…8c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 149.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 143.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Yes | 35c | 114.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…1eb6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3438…26fabacked No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…6579backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…f032backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 33c | 68.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1582backed Yes | 36c | 67.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…c23ebacked Yes | 33c | 67.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 31c | 59.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…9f18backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…7664backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…341dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 34c | 46.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acb…1cb2backed No | 67c | 46.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…1d64backed No | 68c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…e7debacked No | 67c | 39.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 36.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…3629backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb022…a3cabacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 27.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSG beat Inter Milan in the first half? this page
- Will Inter Milan beat PSG in the first half? No won
- Will PSG vs. Inter Milan first half result in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.