Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Milan beat PSG in the first half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a8e91004e76eec7fd66b446257b24d3ffbdb62ebe0f94a927739984a8810dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29b…9e76backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 25c | 4,029$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 79c | 1,834$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.14 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 75c | 667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…d77ebacked Yes | 10c | 355.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 75c | 325.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5552…d1c2backed Yes | 12c | 185$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 74c | 180.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…6987backed Yes | 25c | 149.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…5235backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b08ebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4fe9backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 24c | 89.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 23c | 88.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7901…5575backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…653ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…02a4backed Yes | 26c | 77.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…0ee9backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 42.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…db71backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 36.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…d4c9backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3438…26fabacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan beat PSG in the first half? this page
- Will PSG beat Inter Milan in the first half? Yes won
- Will PSG vs. Inter Milan first half result in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.