Ukraine · resolved market
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x931a692b06fdea92511f583b3bad1d065e0c05a08bc7ff23ecf0c673aa644402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 4c | 5,533$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.68 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 3,400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…4e67backed No | 51c | 3,363$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,876$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e2…85b6backed No | 52c | 2,076$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,011$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.19 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…ad60backed No | 8c | 1,915$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 64c | 1,500$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.72 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 28c | 1,495$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.42 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a121backed No | 27c | 1,177$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…aa15backed No | 32c | 1,091$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 66c | 1,056$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…0220backed No | 51c | 976.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…f94bbacked No | 12c | 965$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 63c | 902.62$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.57 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 74c | 864.66$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 47c | 851.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 48c | 835$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.55 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 20c | 814.07$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.88 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea36…f272backed No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…3866backed No | 42c | 603.82$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…03b1backed No | 2c | 585.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…63edbacked No | 4c | 549.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…4db3backed No | 29c | 509.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 507.92$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.08 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…0d17backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 491.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8445backed No | 16c | 490.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 30c | 465.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 8c | 458.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…bafdbacked No | 22c | 440$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 15c | 434.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…1c34backed No | 29c | 391.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked No | 4c | 360.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 313.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed No | 8c | 311.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…3a5dbacked No | 10c | 302.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…7e55backed No | 5c | 300.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed Yes | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 42c | 299.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c3a8backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…2817backed No | 38c | 271.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed No | 41c | 270.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 59c | 270$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 19c | 266.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…43a7backed No | 52c | 261.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 71c | 258.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 41c | 258.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…83ccbacked No | 20c | 252.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…efaabacked No | 17c | 250.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 60c | 250.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 6c | 245.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…b156backed No | 8c | 238.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 18c | 224.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 49c | 223.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfc…1f91backed No | 56c | 209$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 48c | 208.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…5e48backed No | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…76a8backed No | 26c | 198.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 67c | 170.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 15c | 167.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 52c | 167.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…1b01backed No | 15c | 164.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 47c | 164$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57b…602abacked Yes | 61c | 163.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 48c | 160.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed No | 8c | 159.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 70c | 139.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…b386backed No | 14c | 138.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66d…7fdabacked No | 36c | 137.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 32c | 136.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 8c | 136.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c0…6867backed Yes | 58c | 128.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…277bbacked No | 51c | 125.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 53c | 112.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 63c | 111.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…2dc3backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 46c | 109.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed No | 37c | 105.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed No | 25c | 105.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…6ecdbacked No | 49c | 101.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 57c | 101$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…45b5backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked No | 28c | 83.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 16c | 82.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…1f72backed No | 55c | 81.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…a874backed No | 26c | 77.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2732backed No | 27c | 75.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.