AI · resolved market
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f949aa2bdc1e20b760ae587591bd4ac5faab3214f862259905a473e78287bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 72c | 4,709$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.4 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 20c | 3,672$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.09 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 2,210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,560$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.53 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 41c | 1,108$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.98 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 23c | 926.93$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed Yes | 70c | 841.64$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked No | 41c | 834.43$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 819.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…90f0backed Yes | 61c | 785.2$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 22c | 682.88$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…e6b7backed Yes | 61c | 677.29$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 636.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 606.85$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked No | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 70c | 395.48$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 37c | 389.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 31c | 385.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…35b1backed Yes | 78c | 378.57$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 38c | 349.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 66c | 301$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked No | 30c | 300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…562fbacked Yes | 24c | 287.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…8d89backed Yes | 22c | 273.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…0876backed Yes | 66c | 258.75$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cc…4da3backed Yes | 79c | 253.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…2a22backed Yes | 72c | 249.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 40c | 249.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…7926backed No | 58c | 223.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…1ad5backed Yes | 19c | 213.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +335.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…6ec0backed Yes | 67c | 209.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 64c | 200.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Yes | 64c | 199.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 65c | 152.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 67c | 150.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 31c | 139.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a6c3backed Yes | 61c | 137.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked Yes | 65c | 136.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 77c | 130.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 62c | 128.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03b…1007backed Yes | 64c | 125.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…534bbacked Yes | 66c | 124.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 67c | 119.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 32c | 116.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 65c | 104.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 28c | 101.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…9ba3backed Yes | 60c | 100.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…542fbacked Yes | 65c | 93.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 62c | 88.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d770backed Yes | 63c | 87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…afc9backed Yes | 64c | 80.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…dba3backed Yes | 61c | 76.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…1c91backed Yes | 66c | 76.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…8eadbacked Yes | 67c | 74.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 67c | 72.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6d…3fd7backed Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…df3abacked Yes | 30c | 67.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 38c | 66.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…a0aabacked Yes | 62c | 64.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…b52bbacked Yes | 70c | 55.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 54.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…41febacked Yes | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…7553backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ea…79d8backed Yes | 79c | 48.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…3cc8backed Yes | 57c | 47.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…08f6backed Yes | 38c | 45.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…95d6backed Yes | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Yes | 67c | 43.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…de1abacked Yes | 64c | 42.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 25c | 41.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…8322backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…32f6backed Yes | 64c | 39.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…47a8backed Yes | 65c | 38.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…6165backed Yes | 80c | 37.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 63c | 36.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 65c | 33.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…6cbcbacked Yes | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…d073backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…d5d5backed Yes | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…e59dbacked Yes | 64c | 23.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…57b4backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…3d7cbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?this page
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on May 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $320b and $330b on May 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on May 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on May 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on May 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on May 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $310b on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.