Ukraine · resolved market
Trump x Putin talk before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d01320df2c73a9a44408e376ed20f1aaed4698fdd287dcca265b369477ca9d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 38c | 6,422$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yes | 71c | 4,234$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 25c | 3,646$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.7 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 61c | 3,602$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.45 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 19c | 3,320$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.54 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 33c | 3,207$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 56c | 3,092$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.21 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed Yes | 43c | 2,793$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 25c | 2,746$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.29 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,602$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 16c | 2,600$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.61 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 1,696$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked No | 55c | 1,681$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 42c | 1,517$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.02 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 62c | 1,408$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 33c | 1,378$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.15 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Yes | 11c | 1,250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 43c | 1,173$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 1,154$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 9c | 1,100$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…7279backed Yes | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…cab5backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 53c | 1,015$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…35e7backed Yes | 25c | 1,002$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed No | 46c | 968.92$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 13c | 914.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Yes | 57c | 883.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 50c | 857.3$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.53 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 35c | 850.1$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9506backed Yes | 66c | 756.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…18a1backed No | 78c | 725.39$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed No | 70c | 724.96$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…1fa5backed Yes | 47c | 678.6$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…05cfbacked Yes | 43c | 652.62$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 44c | 644.54$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 16c | 625.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 38c | 620$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 554.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 49c | 551.67$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.79 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 60c | 531.81$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.71 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 54c | 479.14$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 20c | 466.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 53c | 465.46$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 13c | 464.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…2dcdbacked No | 45c | 462.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 44c | 450.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 435.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…bfefbacked No | 52c | 428.62$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 53c | 384.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…8c8ebacked No | 65c | 381.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 28c | 375$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.13 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 37c | 357$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 54c | 319.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 52c | 312.84$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…2393backed No | 52c | 287.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed No | 38c | 286.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 22c | 275.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 57c | 273.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 47c | 270.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…17e8backed No | 80c | 264.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 24c | 257.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 40c | 252.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 69c | 252.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 251.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…5075backed Yes | 49c | 246.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…8402backed No | 41c | 245.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 35c | 245.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd5…15dcbacked No | 61c | 244.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…f94bbacked No | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…0464backed No | 46c | 229.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…766cbacked No | 44c | 228.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 47c | 224.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 45c | 219.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 75c | 212.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 26c | 209.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…bafdbacked No | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked No | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 74c | 199.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…320ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 52c | 190.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…6ecdbacked No | 65c | 183.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…d310backed No | 51c | 181.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 58c | 180.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 59c | 168.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…b4dbbacked Yes | 61c | 164.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…8c12backed No | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 41c | 148.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 33c | 147.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c13…559bbacked No | 80c | 140.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…cb5fbacked No | 50c | 140.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5c11backed No | 57c | 137.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.