Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1567abf0b9cb1bde9fe5f148548fc33fa107861b6ad6c6248792ec4d50178805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 20c | 37,080$7,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,401.19 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 20c | 21,011$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116.61 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 23c | 14,232$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.75 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 19c | 10,339$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 24c | 7,000$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.06 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 17c | 6,147$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.03 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 24c | 5,041$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.87 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 18c | 4,500$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 22c | 4,158$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…878abacked Yes | 13c | 2,801$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 23c | 2,770$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.86 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 19c | 2,719$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,619$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,510$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 2,501$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.31 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed Yes | 18c | 2,134$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…f76ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,883$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 20c | 1,636$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 18c | 1,603$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.29 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,559$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…af12backed Yes | 23c | 1,479$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…1fe3backed Yes | 20c | 1,289$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 16c | 1,286$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…fdd3backed Yes | 21c | 1,213$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 19c | 1,209$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…e6fdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,204$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…e4a0backed Yes | 20c | 978.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 25c | 978.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 12c | 900$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 21c | 847.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…a632backed Yes | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 16c | 799.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…f2f0backed Yes | 18c | 780.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 752.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 20c | 723.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 14c | 722.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Yes | 17c | 714.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6c42backed Yes | 16c | 703$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 78c | 671.94$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…7bdabacked Yes | 21c | 577.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 23c | 571$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…99f0backed Yes | 20c | 518.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 19c | 515$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 17c | 499.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 13c | 450$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 18c | 414.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…cddabacked Yes | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cc…ded1backed Yes | 26c | 390.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 20c | 380.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Yes | 27c | 371.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…9c67backed Yes | 23c | 344.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…06c5backed Yes | 17c | 344.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed Yes | 22c | 328$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 18c | 320$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…45aebacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…035fbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e75…01f9backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 297.8$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…4b8abacked Yes | 20c | 296.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 295$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes | 15c | 273.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 13c | 271$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…9372backed Yes | 25c | 265.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 17c | 244.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 20c | 236.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…b49fbacked Yes | 26c | 215.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…ef6ebacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…320ebacked Yes | 13c | 203.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…0f41backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed Yes | 19c | 194.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 78c | 181$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 22c | 173.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…10ebbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 148$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 80c | 145.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…5d12backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 16c | 136.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 79c | 129$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Yes | 20c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 76c | 121.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…4380backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…67f4backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…f6e8backed Yes | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…fa75backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b7…b1d3backed Yes | 21c | 100.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…4e70backed Yes | 27c | 100.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…c893backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?this page
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.